mikks's latest activity
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Mmikks reacted to Red Rick's post in the thread Teams & Riders The Remco Evenepoel is the next Eddy Merckx thread with
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Mikel Landa gets 4th in the 2017 Tour and he gets 5th in the 2024 Tour. Roglic is 4th in 2018 and then in 2025 he's in 5th place with... -
Mmikks replied to the thread Comprehensive Climbers Ranking.I watched the video and depending on the exact location of the last right turn, it is either 1484–1485 or 1475–1476. But I’m not sure...
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Mmikks replied to the thread Paul Seixas: Tour de France Winner 2031.I see I’m not the only one who has read Tetlock. Here is a thread comparing Bernal, Pogačar and Evenepoel, created in 2020. I recently...
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MThis is exactly right. One of the key problems here is also trying to predict a singular rare event instead of multiple reasonably...
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Mmikks replied to the thread 52nd Volta ao Algarve em Bicicleta (18-22 February).Agree with others. Lipowitz was the only real disappointment. All the others were more or less as expected.
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Mmikks replied to the thread Paul Seixas: Tour de France Winner 2031.Actually, I’ve been reading this forum almost from the beginning—I just had to make a new account recently. So I remember a lot. I...
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Mmikks replied to the thread Paul Seixas: Tour de France Winner 2031.Seixas is overhyped. The futures of young riders are generally very hard to predict because the uncertainties are so high. I was very...
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Mmikks replied to the thread Teams & Riders The Remco Evenepoel is the next Eddy Merckx thread.I agree, Evenepoel is a better rider than Onley and would have better chances. But my point is that if you take Pog and Vingegaard out...
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Mmikks replied to the thread Teams & Riders The Remco Evenepoel is the next Eddy Merckx thread.I just checked Oddschecker, and it gives Pogačar a 75% probability, Vingegaard a 17% probability, Evenepoel 7%, and Almeida...
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Mmikks replied to the thread Teams & Riders The Remco Evenepoel is the next Eddy Merckx thread.There are no solutions, only trade-offs. Maybe he loses some muscle mass and the end result is that he finishes one minute closer to...
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Mmikks replied to the thread Teams & Riders The Remco Evenepoel is the next Eddy Merckx thread.Evenepoel has proven that he can climb really well on his day. But he has also shown over the years that he is somewhat fragile or...
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MIt is time to reveal the last 4 names, though none of them should come as a surprise. We have Tier 2 'Peak Human' and Tier 1 'Alien'...
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Mmikks replied to the thread Comprehensive Climbers Ranking.But it is also counterintuitive. Pinot has won only three Tour de France stages. The first one was from a breakaway and not a...
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Mmikks replied to the thread Comprehensive Climbers Ranking.How would your model rate Contador vs Rasmussen climbing style in 2007? My memory is a bit hazy, but wasn’t it more of a constant...
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Mmikks replied to the thread Comprehensive Climbers Ranking.I have not posted here for 10+ years (so I had to make a new account), although I have continued reading. I do remember, from back in...
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