Recent content by roundabout

Think he will keep going at least until the sprint

Küng is fast on the tracker, so yeah, under 29 minutes would be my guess

Rodriguez, Bernal and De Plus are an ok trio to keep the gaps close enough from the GC group while the rest in theory can go in breaks.

Given the time Bissegger did in the first split, I think it will indeed be a 51 km/h ITT for the winner if not faster. Maybe it's not a super fast TT, but pretty fast nevertheless.

Double points are only on the Bonette

2 guys in a break getting 10 minutes is 20 minutes. Ineos for example lost 4 minutes over the Galibier. Don't get me wrong, I think UAE are favorites, but it's not over.

Durbridge is 4 s/km faster than Martinez on the first flat part. I can see the main stage favorites being 4s/km faster over the whole route (except perhaps for the downhill) so the winning time may well be 1'30'' + better than the current one.

I am not sure that they will go in breaks in the intermediate stages, so while they are favorites, I would not quite say that winning the team GC is a done deal.

30% Winner would need to do something like 27 minutes for Jakobsen to be eliminated

Armstrong arguably (because I really do not want to restart the Ventoux finish debate) did not contest a stage finish with Basso and Pantani. Although it also irked some people that he was seen as giving away stages, so there is no 100% right approach to being the dominant rider.

https://racecenter.letour.fr/en/riders/1 the tracker is a bit jumpy in terms of gaps, but works to give a general idea of who is where

Not on the tracker Edit: Williams is in the first group behind the peloton 20 seconds off the back

Kristoff was behind Jakobsen at one point on the tracker and now he is 2 minutes ahead

there are roughly 35km of categorized uphill left. Losing 1 minute/km uphill perhaps would be an OTL, but a bit less than that should be enough to stay within the time limit.

I actually looked at the wrong table in one of the other threads (I think the Israel one) A stage win is worth more points than 11th on GC and 4 stage 5th places are worth more than 10th on GC so it makes sense to have a rider who can score points in the flat stages with 7 to 9 stages possibly...