2013, Paris - Roubaix: 254Km

[jaylew]

From Compiègne to Roubaix - 254 km

Cobbled sectors with ratings:
27. Troisvilles (km 98.5 – 2,200 m) ***
26. Viesly (km 105 – 1,800 m) ***
25. Quiévy (km 107.5 – 3700 m) ****
24. Saint-Python (km 112.5 – 1,500 m) **
23. Vertain (km 120 – 2,300 m) ***
22. Verchain-Maugré (km 130 – 1,600 m) ***
21. Quérénaing – Maing (km 133 – 2,500 m) ***
20. Monchaux-sur-Ecaillon (km 136.5 – 1,600 m) ***
19. Haveluy (km 149.5 – 2,500 m) ****
18. Trouée d'Arenberg (km 158 – 2,400 m) *****
17. Wallers - Hélesmes, aka "Pont Gibus" (km 164 – 1,600 m) ***
16. Hornaing (km 170.5 – 3,700 m) ****
15. Warlaing - Brillon (km 178 – 2,400 m)
14. Tilloy - Sars-et-Rosières (km 181.5 – 2,400 m) ***
13. Beuvry-la-Forêt - Orchies (km 188 – 1,400m) ***
12. Orchies (km 193 – 1,700 m) ***
11. Auchy-lez-Orchies - Bersée (km 199 – 2,600 m) ***
10. Mons-en-Pévèle (km 205 – 3,000 m) *****
9. Mérignies - Avelin (km 211 – 700 m) **
8. Pont-Thibaut (km 214.5 – 1,400 m) ***
7. Templeuve - Moulin de Vertain (km 220.5 – 500 m) **
6a. Cysoing - Bourghelles (km 227 – 1,300 m) ***
6b. Bourghelles - Wannehain (km 229.5 – 1,100 m) ***
5. Camphin-en-Pévèle (km 234 – 1,800 m) ****
4. Le Carrefour de l'Arbre (km 236.5 – 2,100 m) *****
3. Gruson (km 239 – 1,100 m) **
2. Hem (km 246 – 1,400 m) **
1. Roubaix (km 256.5 – 300 m) *

Recent Podiums:

 

[jaylew]

Provisional Startlist:

Omega Pharma-Quick-Step
CHAVANEL Sylvain
MAES Nikolas
STYBAR Zdenek
TERPSTRA Niki
VAN KEIRSBULCK Guillaume
VANDENBERGH Stijn
VELITS Martin
R. CAVENDISH Mark
R. FENN Andrew
R. KEISSE Iljo
R. STEEGMANS Gert

RadioShack-Leopard
CANCELLARA Fabian
DEVOLDER Stijn
HONDO Danilo
IRIZAR Markel
JUNGELS Bob
POPOVYCH Yaroslav
RAST Gregory
ROULSTON Hayden
R. GALLOPIN Tony
R. NIZZOLO Giacomo
R. SERGENT Jesse

FDJ
BONNET William
BOUCHER David
DELAGE Mickaël
DEMARE Arnaud
LADAGNOUS Matthieu
OFFREDO Yoann
ROLLIN Dominique
SOUPE Geoffrey
R. FISCHER Murilo Antonio
R. GESLIN Anthony
R. LE BON Johan
R. ROUX Anthony

Cannondale
BODNAR Maciej
BOIVIN Guillaume
DA DALTO Mauro
HAEDO Lucas Sebastian
KING Edward
KOREN Kristjan
MARANGONI Alan
SABATINI Fabio
R. LONGHO BORGHINI Paolo
R. SAGAN Juraj
R. WURF Cameron

Euskaltel-Euskadi
BILBAO Peio
GARCIA AMBROA Ricardo
OROZ Juan José
RADOCHLA Steffen
SAEZ DE ARREGI Adrian
SCHULZE Andre
SEREBRYAKOV Alexander
TAMOURIDIS Ioannis

Blanco
BOOM Lars
FLENS Rick
LEEZER Thomas
TANKINK Bram
TJALLINGII Maarten
VANMARCKE Sep
WAGNER Robert
WYNANTS Maarten
R. BOL Jetse
R. HOFLAND Moreno
R. VAN EMDEN Jos

Garmin-Sharp
BAUER Jack
FARRAR Tyler
KLIER Andreas
MAASKANT Martijn
NAVARDAUSKAS Ramunas
RATHE Jacob
ROSSELER Sebastien
VANSUMMEREN Johan
R. VON HOFF Steele
R. KREDER Raymond
R. NUYENS Nick

Lampre-Merida
CATTANEO Mattia
FAVILLI Elia
FERRARI Roberto
GRAZIATO Massimo
PALINI Andrea
PETACCHI Alessandro
POZZATO Filippo
ARIEL RICHEZE Maximiliano
R. CIMOLAI Davide
R. MALORI Adriano
R. VIGANO Davide
R. WACKERMANN Luca

Lotto-Belisol
BAK Lars Ytting
DEHAES Kenny
DEBUSSCHERE Jens
GREIPEL Andre
NEYENS Maarten
REYNES Vicente
ROELANDTS Jurgen
SIEBERG Marcel
R. CORDEEL Sander
R. HENDERSON Gregory
R. VANGENECHTEN Jonas

Movistar
DOWSETT Alex
ERVITI Imanol
HERRADA LOPEZ Jesus
HERRADA LOPEZ José
PLAZA MOLINA Ruben
ROJAS Jose Joaquin
SANZ UNZUE Enrique
TERUEL ROVIRA Eloy
R. LASTRAS Pablo

Orica-GreenEdge
COOKE Baden
DOCKER Mitchell
GOSS Matthew Harley
KEUKELEIRE Jens
LANGEVELD Sebastian
MOURIS Jens
O’GRADY Stuart
TUFT Svein
R. BEPPU Fumiyuki
R. DURBRIDGE Luke
R. KRUOPIS Aidis
R. VAITKUS Tomas

Sky
BOASSON HAGEN Edvald
EISEL Bernhard
HAYMAN Mathew
PUCCIO Salvatore
RASCH Gabriel
ROWE Luke
STANNARD Ian
SUTTON Chris
R. SWIFT Ben
R. THOMAS Geraint

Argos-Shimano
CLARKE William
CURVERS Roy
DE BACKER Bert
DE KORT Koen
DEGENKOLB John
SINKELDAM Ramon
STAMSNIJDER Tom
VEELERS Tom
R. ARNDT Nikias
R. JANSE VAN RENSBURG Reinardt
R. MEZGEC Luka
R. TIMMER Albert

Saxo-Tinkoff
BENNATI Daniele
BRESCHEL Matti
JORGENSEN Jonas Aaen
JUUL-JENSEN Christopher
KUMP Marko
LUND Anders
MORKOV Michael
TOSATTO Matteo
R. CANTWELL Jonathan
R. MC CARTHY Jay
R. MIYAZAWA Takashi
R. NOVAL GONZALEZ Benjamin

Vacansoleil-DCM
BOECKMANS Kris
FLECHA Juan Antonio
KREDER Wesley
LEUKEMANS Bjorn
LINDEMAN Bert-Jan
SELVAGGI Mirko
VAN POPPEL Boy
VEUCHELEN Frederik
R. BOLE Grega
R. VAN HUMMEL Kenny
R. MARKUS Barry
R. MOL Wouter

Ag2r La Mondiale
APPOLLONIO Davide
BAGDONAS Gediminas
CHAINEL Steve
HOULE Hugo
HUTAROVICH Yauheni
IGLINSKIY Valentin
MINARD Sébastien
MONDORY Lloyd
R. BELLETTI Manuel
R. DOMONT Axel
R. GEORGES Sylvain
R. RAVARD Anthony

Astana
BOZIC Borut
GRUZDEV Dmitriy
GUARDINI Andrea
GUARNIERI Jacopo
KAMYSHEV Arman
LUTSENKO Aleksey
MURAVYEV Dmitriy
TLEUBAYEV Ruslan
R. GRIVKO Andriy
R. HUFFMAN Evan
R. IGLINSKIY Maxim
R. KASHECHKIN Andrey

BMC Racing
BURGHARDT Marcus
HUSHOVD Thor
LODEWYCK Klaas
OSS Daniel
PHINNEY Taylor
QUINZIATO Manuel
SCHAR Michael
WYSS Danilo
R. VAN AVERMAET Greg
R. BLYTHE Adam
R. KOHLER Martin
R. LANDER Sebastian

Katusha
GUSEV Vladimir
HALLER Marco
ISAYCHEV Vladimir
KRISTOFF Alexander
KUZNETSOV Viacheslav
PAOLINI Luca
SELIG Rüdiger
SMUKULIS Gatis
R. FLORENCIO Xavier
R. KUSCHYNSKI Aleksandr
R. PORSEV Alexander
R. TSATEVITCH Alexey

Bretagne-Séché Environnement
DELPECH Jean-luc
DION Renaud
JARRIER Benoit
KORETZKY Clément
LE MONTAGNER Benjamin
MALACARNE Gael
PERICHON Pierre-luc
VACHON Florian
R. BIDEAU Jean Marc
R. CORBEL Erwann
R. LAENGEN Vegard Stake
R. LEQUATRE Geoffroy

Cofidis
BARLE Florent
FOUCHARD Julien
GARCíA Egoitz
GHYSELINCK Jan
JOEAAR Gert
LABBE Arnaud
PETIT Adrien
SIJMENS Nico
R. CAMMAERTS Edwig
R. POULHIES Stéphane
R. VALENTIN Tristan
R. ZINGLE Romain

IAM Cycling
BANDIERA Marco
ELMIGER Martin
GODDAERT Kristof
HAUSSLER Heinrich
HINAULT Sébastien
KLEMME Dominic
LARSSON Gustav
SARAMOTINS Aleksejs
R. BRÄNDLE Matthias
R. HOLLENSTEIN Reto
R. LANG Pirmin
R. PELUCCHI Matteo

Sojasun
DANIEL Maxime
ENGOULVENT Jimmy
LABORIE Christophe
LEMOINE Cyril
MARTIAS Rony
PAIANI Jean-lou
SISKEVICIUS Evaldas
TALABARDON Yannick
R. DELAPLACE Anthony
R. GALLAND Jeremie
R. MARINO Jean Marc
R. TORTELIER Etienne

Europcar
CHAVANEL Sébastien
COUSIN Jérôme
GAUDIN Damien
GENE Yohann
HUREL Tony
LAMOISSON Morgan
THURAU Bjorn
TURGOT Sébastien
R. COQUARD Bryan
R. TULIK Angelo
R. VEILLEUX David

NetApp-Endura
BARTA Jan
DEMPSTER Zakkari
DOWNING Russell
EICHLER Markus
JARC Blaz
KLUGE Roger
SCHILLINGER Andreas
WETTERHALL Alexander
R. MATZKA Ralf
R. MCEVOY Jonathan
R. SCHWARZMANN Michael
R. THWAITES Scott

 

[jaylew]

Ok, Scheldgrdepreis*&#%! is over. Time to talk Roubaix. Does Cancellara's crash affect his chances? Can OPQS salvage its classics season with a podium? Will Sky and BMC disappoint again? Will Garmin even get anyone in the top 10? Who will crash out?

For me it's:

***** Cancellara (assuming his crash won't have an effect)
**** Kristoff, Haussler, Roelandts, EBH (this group is probably closer to 3.5 stars)
*** Paolini, Thomas, Chavanel
** Pozzato, Boom, Flecha, Degenkolb, Hushovd
* Greipel, Langeveld, Stannard, Phinney, Turgot

Can a mod take Van Avermaet out of the poll (and sticky, of course) and put Pozzato, Hushovd, or Degenkolb in his place (your choice), please? I had forgotten GvA is out.

 

[Afrank]

SPARTACUS!!! That is all.

Oh...and Phinney to podium.

 

[benzwire]

Phinney. He's a longshot, but I'm hoping...

 

[greenedge]

Cancellara

Oss
EBH
Phinney
Chavanel

Bozic
Haussler
Boom
Ladagnous
Flecha

as my top 10- though Turgot looks strong too. I put Boom in as the one person who has been flying under the radar- if not Pozzato.
Hoping for Hushovd, Thomas, Langeveld and also Hayman (not on my CQ squad to go well).

 

[movingtarget]

I like Flecha, Chavanel. Haussler, Thomas and Hayman. If they ride together they might beat Cancellara !

 

[Samson777]

I like Flecha, Chavanel. Haussler, Thomas and Hayman. If they ride together they might beat Cancellara !

Since Thomas can blame his crash that he did not follow Spartacus last weekend, I have him as my "favorite" to beat Cancellara. That, and of course the fact that he is from SKY. And since Porte is not in the race, i suspect that Thomas will be there main guy.

 

[CraZyCaLL]

1Cancellara
2Phinney
3Ladagnous

 

[quiqui]

***** Cancellara
**** no one
*** no one
** Boom, Roelandts, Flecha, Phinney, Thomas
* Chavanel, Stybar, Van Summeren, Hayman, Turgot

 

[Izzy eviel]

Chava
Fab
Flecha
Phinney
Stannard

 

[phanatic]

If FC is too heavy a favorite, is this a race for the breakaway riders?

 

[spalco]

***** Cancellara
**** no one
*** no one
** Boom, Roelandts, Flecha, Phinney, Thomas
* Chavanel, Stybar, Van Summeren, Hayman, Turgot

I don't recall ever having seen odds like this for a race like Paris Roubaix; according to the bookies, Cancellara is better than 1 in 2 to win and the next better ones are Phinney and Hushovd at more than 1 in 10, so those stars really do justice to how much of a favourite Cancellara appears to be.

Once again it'll be the peloton vs Cancellara. I really like the guy, but history is not in favour of him winning under those circumstances. I can easily see someone from a break winning this time.

 

[Archibald]

Spartacus the overwhelming favourite, but last time that occured his team was non-existant. After Devolder and Roulston's performance at de Ronde he may well have far more help this time out.

If you're RS, do you go with Devolder up the road in a move akin to JVS last time?

 

[Zam_Olyas]

Thomas geraint will get lucky and win.

 

[Buffalo Soldier]

Will we ever see e real Boonen vs Cancellara in this race again? 2010 was such a great race

No chance for rain, I guess?

 

[Hugo Koblet]

Sagan couldn't go it. Now it's time for the next challenger to step into the ring. Enter Gaudin!

 

[Dazed and Confused]

Roelandts, Stannard or Gaudin for me.

Kristoff takes another podium.

 

[movingtarget]

I don't recall ever having seen odds like this for a race like Paris Roubaix; according to the bookies, Cancellara is better than 1 in 2 to win and the next better ones are Phinney and Hushovd at more than 1 in 10, so those stars really do justice to how much of a favourite Cancellara appears to be.

Once again it'll be the peloton vs Cancellara. I really like the guy, but history is not in favour of him winning under those circumstances. I can easily see someone from a break winning this time.

It's understandable. Only a fully fit Boonen in form would have changed the odds. I think only bad luck or a break that the peloton don't react to quick enough can stop Cancellara.

 

[LugHugger]

It's astonishing that Stannard is omitted from the poll and that Thomas and EBH are in ahead of him.

Cancellara
Boom
Stannard

 

[Lanark]

It's astonishing that Stannard is omitted from the poll and that Thomas and EBH are in ahead of him.

Cancellara
Boom
Stannard

People like EBH, Van Avermaet, Haussler and Paolini have no place on that poll ahead of guys like Vansummeren, Boom and Flecha.

 

[kjetilraknerud]

It's astonishing that Stannard is omitted from the poll and that Thomas and EBH are in ahead of him.

Cancellara
Boom
Stannard

Do you base that on Stannard's RVV performance, where he almost was top 100? He seems to only do well in terrible weather, so the weather forecast works against him.

Thomas or EBH probably won't win the race, but they are still the best options for Sky IMO.

 

[TheRossSeaParty]

Either Cancellera rides away with it and wins by a ridiculous margin or someone fairly random takes it from a breakaway in the last 80km. Look at the past 8 years, either Boonen/Cancellera or a lucky breakaway rider (O'Grady, Van Summeren) won the race. I would love to see something like 2011.

 

[Karl Max]

Ok, Scheldgrdepreis*&#%! is over. Time to talk Roubaix. Does Cancellara's crash affect his chances? Can OPQS salvage its classics season with a podium? Will Sky and BMC disappoint again? Will Garmin even get anyone in the top 10? Who will crash out?

For me it's:

***** Cancellara (assuming his crash won't have an effect)
**** Kristoff, Haussler, Roelandts, EBH (this group is probably closer to 3.5 stars)
*** Paolini, Thomas, Chavanel
** Pozzato, Boom, Flecha, Degenkolb, Hushovd
* Greipel, Langeveld, Stannard, Phinney, Turgot

Can a mod take Van Avermaet out of the poll (and sticky, of course) and put Pozzato, Hushovd, or Degenkolb in his place (your choice), please? I had forgotten GvA is out.

I dont belive Kristoff is strong enough for the podium in this race, I hope I am wront though. He said himself that Flandern suites him better than Roubaix, I think the best he can hope for is a top-10.

Hushovd was sick at the Flandern or at least his breath was bad but his legs was good according to a interview after the race, so there is some doubt about how well his body will work. But then again he has done bad in Flandern before and come back at Roubaix. So I will consider him a dark horse.

I hope for a battle of the giants rather than a breakaway win, but probably Cancellara is the one who gets it in the end.

 

[Ruudz0r]

I think Phinney will od really well he has been a beast in the flat and he is good at the cobbles. But I dont think anyone can beat Cancellara

My podium 1 Cancellara, 2 Phinney, 3 Boom