dienekes88 said:
Indeed. It could be sour grapes and a baseless accusation.
I don't think I understand what you are saying in reference to my comment about Evans' performance in this TdF and especially today's stage. I am sour about what and who in particular am I accusing?
To me it just seems strange that both Schlecks, Wiggins (Giro), Armstrong (Giro), Kloeden, Contador and even Nibali and Kreuziger outride a former TdF winner (Sastre) and runner up (Evans) with such 'ease' on their not unfavoured type of terrain - uphill - when it is/was one of their main goals of the season, the parcours is considered 'easier' compared to the Giro's as well as compared to last year's TdF.
On the other hand, they were probably in the 50 who were targeted for testing, because they're major contenders. Maybe they were "scared straight?" (quoting Alpe d'Huez regarding Menchov in another thread)
I mentioned the 'scared straight' argument a couple of posts before as well. If the Giro did Sastre in, why is Evans underperforming. He did not ride the Giro. In this year's Dauphine Contador followed his wheel, but today Evans just let it slip away, as evidenced by the 29m.
I find it interesting that you're willing to believe that Kirchen and Menchov may have abandoned their hypothetical doping programs... but not willing to believe that Evans and Sastre may have been doped before and are clean now.
You are probably misreading or misinterpreting my post. I never implied that Evans and Sastre never doped before. They might as well have decreased their doping efforts, since they were last year's top dogs, and are quite possibly heavily scrutinized.
Re Sastre, many seem to believe he is one of the cleaner riders, that's why I used his performance as a litmus test against which other performances could be measured. It seems odd that last year's TdF winner is unable to hold his former teammates' wheel, and lose so much time in stages that would favour his ability.
Could it be that
A) he was doped last year as much as any other rider - as Kohl implied, the whole top 10 - and based on last year's performance, he is targeted much more, which have limited his ways to use any doping. Hence his performance this year is off due to his inability/fear to dope and/or due to his Giro peak.
B) he was only slightly doped last year (and perhaps in all of his preceding years), and his innate abilities as a cyclist made him surface among cyclists who doped less as well. In other words, last year could have been a cleaner tour and he demonstrated he was the better/best rider when fighting with equal weapons. His lack of performance this year could thus be attributed to his giro peak, and the fact that others have increased their doping efforts, while he had to decrease them or kept them at the same level as last year. Pointing to the fact that this year's TdF is fought with unequal weapons.
That's why I was interested in reading what he had said about this year's TdF, ie that he believes that the ones before him are more heavily doped than last year.
He is 11 minutes behind, and that puts him back in the spot where he always was, top 10-15. Are all of the people before him that much better cyclists? Is he tired from the Giro? Are others doping more and/or is he doping less? Was last year an outlier, or was it a better reflection of cyclists ability than in previous years.
Evans' case is even more intriguing, because he did not ride the Giro, so he could not have suffered from 'overpeaking'. He quite comfortably rode with Contador in the Dauphine. Are the others better cyclists? Are others doping more? Is he doping less? Is he sick? Last year he came in second after he seemingly suffered from a crash, so he must be really sick to forsake a good GC this year...
Menchov battled it out with recent doping violator Di Luca, and won. Last year he came in 4th, right behind convicted doper Kohl. His name was mentioned many times in re Humanplasma. Could that have scared him straight? Based on last year's performance, he rode the Giro in prep to the TdF, how come his performance this year is so completely unlike last year. He won the Giro, but shouldn't he have been closer to a top 15-20 spot this year, given his so called 'ability to grow over 2 tours'? That's what the RAB doctor(s) said when they turned to the strategy of doing the Giro in prep to the Tdf, as they had noticed he had the ability to grow/peak better during the Vuelta after doing a hard race, such as the TdF.
Kirchen, last year he came in 8th. This year he hasn't survived a single mountain stage. Is this due to increased testing as a former top 10 rider. Is it because he was injured early on in the season (and how does that compare to Vandevelde's injury suffered in the Giro).
Granted, the Schlecks, Nibali and Kreuziger did not ride the Giro, so they should be really on form now. Wiggins and Armstrong used the 'Menchov' preparation, and did the Giro to build form for the TdF. They probably never dug too deep, whereas Menchov dug deep a couple of times to secure the win.