Teams & Riders Jonas Vingegaard thread: Love in Iberia

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He should say he's still in a wheelchair as long as possible and then show up at the Tour to crush it.

Yeah, like Rafa before Roland Garros:

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Say he starts the Tour. Would the lack of preparation mean that he can ride himself into shape or the opposite because he did not have sufficient preparation for a three week race. If it's the former, he struggles in week 1 but gets close to his best in week 3, we could be in for a very spectacular Tour. But while that seems kind of intuitive I have no idea if sport science backs it up.
 
Say he starts the Tour. Would the lack of preparation mean that he can ride himself into shape or the opposite because he did not have sufficient preparation for a three week race. If it's the former, he struggles in week 1 but gets close to his best in week 3, we could be in for a very spectacular Tour. But while that seems kind of intuitive I have no idea if sport science backs it up.

GT is not a controllable training. It's hard to ride oneself into form with attacks from all directions: Teddy, Rogla and Remco won't just wait until Vingo gets better, actually the opposite will be true.
 
I don't think Jumbo are greedy enough to send their golden eggs laying chicken to the Tour and hence risking a goddamn epic barbecue because it didn't get enough recovery.

The first week of the Giro sawJumbo without any riders, without WVA and Jonas. I reckon there's a bit of good sense there.
 
Sad thing is I'd probably rather Roglic win than the other two but his best strategy, i.e going ballistic with his team on stage 4 and hoping Pogacar/Vingegaard came in cold just isn't his style.
I also would slightly prefer Roglic to win but I don't see him making it 3 weeks without a crash. Especially on bora. That's more of the problem than strategy to me
 
Roglic has had his share of bad luck, the gods will grant him a crash free Tour, you can quote me after.
Even if he does, I can't see him winning. Roglic only beat Thomas in the Giro last year by about 14 seconds and was even dropped last year on one stage. Maybe Thomas isn't quite as good this year, but I imagine his form is fairly similar, but Pogi is winning by 7 minutes and it could have been more had Pogi not been saving himself for the Tour. This was Roglic's main goal last year, so he should have been in almost top form. Plus, Roglic hasn't been so strong this year anyway. Roglic is clearly better than Thomas, but they are close to being equals. Yete it is crazy to consider Thomas being a contender to Pogi. Yes Pogi and Jonas haven't had ideal prep, but they are just too much better than Roglic for him to have a chance
 
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Even if he does, I can't see him winning. Roglic only beat Thomas in the Giro last year by about 14 seconds and was even dropped last year on one stage. Maybe Thomas isn't quite as good this year, but I imagine his form is fairly similar, but Pogi is winning by 7 minutes and it could have been more had Pogi not been saving himself for the Tour. This was Roglic's main goal last year, so he should have been in almost top form. Plus, Roglic hasn't been so strong this year anyway. Roglic is clearly better than Thomas, but they are close to being equals. Yete it is crazy to consider Thomas being a contender to Pogi. Yes Pogi and Jonas haven't had ideal prep, but they are just too much better than Roglic for him to have a chance

When Roglič is demonstrably better in the Tour 2024 than he was in the Giro 2023, some people are going to act all surprised like "how is this possible?!".

But anyone who actually watched the Giro can tell you two things about Rog's form in that race: he crashed hard in the Tao GH DNF crash, aka an injury which he carried all the way to Rome. The other thing is he hates bad weather as well (rain & cold are pretty much a form of kryptonite for Rog).

If you want to see what he can do, just watch the Angliru stage in last year's Vuelta. It's a much better indicator.
 
When Roglič is demonstrably better in the Tour 2024 than he was in the Giro 2023, some people are going to act all surprised like "how is this possible?!".

But anyone who actually watched the Giro can tell you two things about Rog's form in that race: he crashed hard in the Tao GH DNF crash, aka an injury which he carried all the way to Rome. The other thing is he hates bad weather as well (rain & cold are pretty much a form of kryptonite for Rog).

If you want to see what he can do, just watch the Angliru stage in last year's Vuelta. It's a much better indicator.
Yes, he was better on La Vuelta, but still not enough to drop a cooked Vingegaard, like we saw on Angliru and Jalavambre.