I'll break that down.
Minnesota 2-6: @ GB, Oakland, @Atl, Denver, @Detroit, NO, @Wash, Chicago. - I see them able to beat Denver, Wash, and maybe Chicago. But they have a possible franchise QB in Ponder. Plus, the city just turned down a deal to build a new stadium and the franchise may move (to LA? My hometown of Portland is now talking about building a stadium too).
Carolina 2-6 - Tenn, @Det, @Indy, @TB, ATL, @Hou, TB, @NO. I see them able to win three or more of those. But it won't matter. They have their franchise QB in Cam Newton and would immediately trade the pick away.
Jacksonville 2-6 - @Indy, @Cle, Hou, SD, TB, @Atl, @Ten, Indy. Softest schedule here maybe. Could wind up 5-10, maybe 7-9. Also, have Blain Gabbert, second QB taken in the draft and he's playing well so far.
Denver 2-5 @ OAK, @KC, NHJ, @SD, @Minn, Chi, NE, @Buffalo, KC. Very tough schedule. Could easily go 3-13, maybe 2-14, and if that happens, I'm sure Denver (and Elway) would take Luck and dump Tebow in a heartbeat. I can see them settling for Landry Jones, Matt Barkley, or RG3. But a top QB pick (other than Luck) after taking Tebow may not sit well with fans, or the owners.
Seattle 2-5@Dal, Balt, @StL, Wash, Phi, StL, @Chi, SF, @Ari - Seattle may be the worst team in the NFL on any given day. They should be able to win 2, maybe 3 of these games and finish about 4-12. They would take Luck instantly as well. But may settle for USC's Barkley, who Pete Carroll recruited to USC.
Arizona 1-6 - St.L, @Phi, @SF, @St.L, Dal, SF, Cle, @Cin, Sea. Arizona is much better than 1-6, and I expect them to finish about 5-11 or maybe 6-11. They would however take Luck if they could, but will probably settle for Jones, Barkley, RG3, or wait a round or more.
St. Louis 1-6 - @Ari, @Cle, Sea, Ari, @SF, @Sea, Cin, @Pitt, SF. They should be better than 1-6, but may finish 3-13, who knows. But they don't need a QB, as Bradford was very good last year, and even okay this year despite being sacked more than anyone. They desperately need OL and receiver help.
Miami 0-7 - @KC, Wash, Buff, @DAL, OAK, Phi, @Buf, @NE, NYJ - a very rough schedule, and they could go o-for, but I think will eek out 1 win. Most likely team to get Luck I think. But without a new, big name coach, and more serious management aiming for the future, Luck may refuse to play there.
Indianapolis 0-8 - ATL, JAX, Carolina, @NE, @Balt, Ten, Hou, @Jax An easier schedule than Miami, and if they can win one of the next three games, could pick up another win or two. But Manning is throwing and refuses to go on the DL. If he's able to come back, and play, they could win any of those games. If they win the Luck sweeps, they will either trade him, or (gasp) trade Manning. He may be getting older, but Manning is a future HOF QB and a once in a lifetime player. As good as Luck may be, those are impossibly huge shoes to fill.
I think Miami is going to have the worst record, will fire Tony Sporano and hire as big of name coach they can, and give him great autonomy (Cowher? Gruden? Dungee? And hope that gives Luck enough hope to sign a deal there.