cycladianpirate said:
Just one for the tuned-in people here (I am not one).
Obviously, one of the tell-tale signs of doping is a previously average rider suddenly outperforming, but are there examples of:
1. A rider on the gear
2. Is successful
3. Thinks he can do it without the gear
4. Crashes and burns
5. Gets back on the program
?
Difficult, mainly because your #3 applies to nobody. You should rephrase it as "is forced by circumstances to try it without the gear".
According to some, Contador would probably fit that mold, though I personally doubt Conti ever fully got off the sauce. But sure, there's a case to be made that he tried it with less sauce in 2013, saw it didn't work, and then recharged to the max in 2014/15.
One of the clearest examples of a guy who toned it down and saw his carreer go downhill is Dario Cioni.
Was superstrong in 2004, a year that earned him a new fat contract to be leader for Liquigas. But at the end of that year he gets a warning for a 50+ htc reading which causes him to miss the Worlds.
Then in 2005 in his new role as team leader he's literally nowhere to be seen. (well, 13th in the Giro, but all in all it was a truly disappointing season.)
I don't think he ever fully got off the juice, but clearly he toned it down after the 2004 warning.
Similar for Andy Schleck and a couple of others.