Predict the Top 5 GC in Tour de France

[ILovecycling]

Re:

And people talked about how unlikely it was for all of the Big Four to finish in the top-5...

yep, finally a race without extreme gc rider falls

 

[Ataraxus]

1.Froome
2.Quintana
3.J.Rod
4.Valverde
5.Nibali

If you examine the posts of this thread you can quickly observe that the Froome underrating in this forum(as some users claim) is much much smaller than the Contador overrating and blind fanboyism.
The closest prediction I came across after a quick check. Remove JRod and you're all set for the top 4. Chapeau.

 

[Tonton]

No way (baring a crash) that Valverde doesn't make the top-10. It's a course for him. IMO, a dangerous guy for a top-5. Out of the Big 4, one or two won't make the top 5, either DNF (more likely) or a a couple of bad stages, crash, puncture with 5K left, bordure, a bad day...I think the guess is who is (are) the guy(s). My bet would be Bertie, then Dawg/Quintana. One breakaway rider may hang on to remain in the top 5. That's why IMO the French guys have to take chances, or they'll end up with a 5-10 finish.

My final predictions:
1. Nibali
2. Froome
3. Quintana
4. Pinot
5. Valverde

Fun to look back . Maybe Pinot is the new Contador then . Well, that must be why I have never been and will never go to Vegas...