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That's overexaggeration if you think there's next to zero GC action on stages 19 and 20. Vingegaard will literally mark stage 19 as the stage where he'll want to win the Tour. Stage 20 provides the terrain for any rider to try and take back time. I don't believe one bit that the stage 21 TT will deter GC action that much.I think the last stage TT will ruin the last road stages and Pogacar in a way confirms it at
https://cyclinguptodate.com/cycling...car-delighted-by-route-of-2024-tour-de-france
"The time trial between Monaco and Nice is super interesting, I'm really looking forward to it but you will have to arrive at this final stage with good legs to win."
Breakaway stages or next to zero GC actíon on stages 19 & 20 in other words.
The only hope for a exciting final week is a strong wind on stage 16 and a GC hopeful losing time.
Before then, the gravel stage can end a rider's hopes of a good GC spot, but if all come through unscathed then it will be a cagey affair if all 4 big names start. The ITT on stage 7 will be the first sorting out of the GC hopefuls and at 25 km long, baring Vingegaard going nuclear, it should only be seconds between the GC guys. A longer TT might well have made some guys try to win back time.
I think vingegaard will mark 3 stages + 1 stage to test the other GC riders.That's overexaggeration if you think there's next to zero GC action on stages 19 and 20. Vingegaard will literally mark stage 19 as the stage where he'll want to win the Tour. Stage 20 provides the terrain for any rider to try and take back time. I don't believe one bit that the stage 21 TT will deter GC action that much.
The terrain is there to make the last week exciting, especially stages 19-21. It's just up to the GC riders to make it exciting.
UAE, Visma or Bora will probably try to get rid of the Yellow Jersey on stage 4 - breakaway day! Lenny M takes his second leader's jersey!He will test the other GC riders on col du galibier, stage 4.
It depends. If Vingegaard is leading going into the final week there is no way he attacks early on stage 19. People are just massively overestimating that stage in general.That's overexaggeration if you think there's next to zero GC action on stages 19 and 20. Vingegaard will literally mark stage 19 as the stage where he'll want to win the Tour. Stage 20 provides the terrain for any rider to try and take back time. I don't believe one bit that the stage 21 TT will deter GC action that much.
The terrain is there to make the last week exciting, especially stages 19-21. It's just up to the GC riders to make it exciting.
Fair point but if Vingegaard is ahead heading into stage 19, then it’s on to Pogacar, Roglic (and possibly Remco) to attack him from afar, no matter how much the stage suits Jonas. They won’t just sit there and do nothing. I do agree it works best though if a big GC favorite needs to make up big time, like Pog being 2 mins back in 2022. I just disagree that there’ll be virtually no GC action on stages 19 and 20.It depends. If Vingegaard is leading going into the final week there is no way he attacks early on stage 19. People are just massively overestimating that stage in general.
But in general the final week will really only work if the top gc guys aren't too close to each other. Especially after the TT this year both Vingegaard and Pogacar will be hyper focused on stage 21 and considering Vingegaard didn't attack Pogacar from stage 13-15 once I think we cann all expect that hyper focus to come in the form of passive racing. Idk, I kinda start to agree that final TT is a huge problem. It will depend a lot on the gc situation.
It certainly would have been straightforward to start from Isola and go over Saint-Martin, Turini, (Braus), Castillon, Madone before a descent finish to Monaco. With three other HC MTFs, it would have been a good trade.- Would have preferred a descent finish on stage 20