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The last major country to win - 2016

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Which major country will win last this year?

  • Russia

    Votes: 8 10.0%

  • Poland

    Votes: 5 6.3%

  • Norway

    Votes: 4 5.0%

  • Great Britain

    Votes: 2 2.5%

  • Germany

    Votes: 1 1.3%

  • Denmark

    Votes: 28 35.0%

  • Belgium

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Slovenia

    Votes: 10 12.5%

  • Spain

    Votes: 5 6.3%

  • USA

    Votes: 17 21.3%
  • Total voters
    80
quiqui

quiqui

Mar 27, 2012
228
0
0
Which of the major countries in the poll will win last this year? All races at level .1 or above count. Stage wins and GC wins only, no other jerseys. TTTs don't count either.

The poll shows the ten countries that won most last year but have not yet won this year. Take your pick.

Last year's thread is here.
 
quiqui

quiqui

Mar 27, 2012
228
0
0
The current country ranking is shown below. All countries are ranked by number of wins and then number of top tens (in brackets). Countries not shown (like e.g. Belgium) have not yet had any top tens.

7 - Australia (23)
4 - France (37)
3 - Italy (29), Colombia (25)
2 - Argentina (14)
1 - Morocco (8), Belarus (7), Netherlands (3)
0 - Eritrea (15), Spain (10), Great Britain (5), New Zealand (4), Rwanda (4), Slovenia (4), Canada (3), Costa Rica (3), Germany (3), Poland (3), Russia (3), Slovakia (3), Switzerland (3), Brazil (2), Romania (2), Algeria (1), Czech Republic (1), Ethiopia (1), Portugal (1), South Africa (1), Uruguay (1), USA (1)
 
J

Jancouver

Mar 14, 2009
3,436
0
0
Re:

Jspear said:
Well, I'd pick a country like Ethiopia (I can't even think of a rider from that country right now), but from the poll I'll go with the USA. We don't win that much.
Click to expand...

Good pick but we will get some wins in one of the smaller races :D

I will go with Slovakia. They have just Sagan and considering the rainbow jersey curse it may be a while before he wins a race.

Slovakia is not available therefore I voted Danmark
 
quiqui

quiqui

Mar 27, 2012
228
0
0
Re: Re:

BigMac said:
Brullnux said:
No Portugal on poll?
Click to expand...
Surprised as well, likely to wrap this up with ease.
Click to expand...
The countries in the poll are those that scored ten or more victories last year and have not yet won this year. Italy, France, Australia, Netherlands and Colombia have already won this year. See below for last year's victory ranking.

All of the countries in the poll also had more than 100 top tens. The only other country to score more than 100 top tens was Portugal, but it simply did not win enough to make it into the poll.

Country ranking 2015 - Number of wins (number of top tens in brackets)
113 - Italy (1011)
62 - France (756)
60 - Spain (540)
59 - Belgium (714)
41 - Australia (273)
38 - Netherlands (434)
36 - Germany (205)
35 - Great Britain (212)
27 - Norway (131)
19 - Slovenia (120)
13 - Colombia (211)
12 - Russia (174)
11 - USA (162)
10 - Denmark (157), Poland (112)
8 - Iran (89), Czech Republic (67), Slovakia (61), Belarus (59)
7 - Switzerland (63), Ireland (47)
6 - Luxembourg (47), Estonia (33)
5 - Argentina (37), Tunisia (8)
4 - Portugal (143), Austria (55), Kazakhstan (33)
3 - New Zealand (60), South Africa (52), Croatia (21)
2 - Lithuania (53), Latvia (17), Sweden (16), Algeria (11), Brazil (10)
1 - Ukraine (63), Canada (32), South Korea (26), Turkey (19), China (12)
0 - Japan (32), Eritrea (27), Romania (22), Greece (14), Malaysia (10), Azerbaijan (6), Costa Rica (5), Indonesia (5), Hong Kong (4), Morocco (4), Rwanda (4), Mongolia (3), Bulgaria (2), Dominican Republic (2), Hungary (2), Mexico (2), Namibia (2), Taiwan (2), Albania (1), Chile (1), Ethiopia (1), Singapore (1), Syria (1), Uruguay (1)
 
quiqui

quiqui

Mar 27, 2012
228
0
0
I'm surprised Poland only got 1 out of 41 votes so far. They're the weakest country in the poll according to last year's ranking.
 
L

Lupi33x

Jan 20, 2016
684
0
0
I really wanted to troll and say something like, does the TDU even count as a win.... but ah cbf today
 
T

Tarnum

Feb 25, 2015
78
0
3,680
Re: Re:

RedheadDane said:
GP Blanco said:
RedheadDane said:
Why does nobody have any faith in Denmark?
Click to expand...
Because they lack 'winners'.
Click to expand...

I'd say that since we're even in the running for this, and therefore were in - or at least close to - the top-10 of winning countries from last year, we do have winners. :p
We just lack early winners.
Click to expand...

At #15, you were the last one in and none of your 10 most recent wins would have qualified. (9 are 2. and one is U23).

Having said that, I'm always rooting for the underdog. Go, uhm, Boasson Hagen? No, oh well, close enough.
 
quiqui

quiqui

Mar 27, 2012
228
0
0
Five of Denmark's ten wins last year came in the Tour of Denmark in August, but for the USA it's even worse: nine of its eleven wins were scored on home soil in August. With just a bit of bad luck they can remain winless until August this year.

Germany is out, by the way, so nine countries remain.
 
Cance > TheRest

Cance > TheRest

Apr 17, 2013
6,471
403
18,580
Denmark it is. The only danish riders who are 'winners' are all neopro's and have not matured enough on a higher level.
Magnus Cort is of course a joker (and a winner), and it remains to be seen how much last season taught him. Afterall he was close a couple of times on world tour level. Breschel is not consistent enough and that isn't likely to change even if he's actually a team leader in the classics for Cannondale. This tells the story, as these are the two danish riders most likely to have success in the spring, and their odds of winning in the spring doesn't even look too good.
 
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