• The Cycling News forum is still looking to add volunteer moderators with. If you're interested in helping keep our discussions on track, send a direct message to @SHaines here on the forum, or use the Contact Us form to message the Community Team.

    In the meanwhile, please use the Report option if you see a post that doesn't fit within the forum rules.

    Thanks!

Vuelta a España Vuelta a España 2024, stage 18: Vitoria-Gasteiz - Maeztu, 179.3k

Last chance saloon for anyone who isn't a climber or a time-trialist. While the route really isn't all that hard outside of Puerto Herrera, it's hard to see things being kept together.

20c89


96884


It's the only Basque stage of this year's edition, although southern Álava isn't exactly the most Basque part of the region. Start and finish are comfortably close enough together for a TT, but with Madrid already taking up that slot we get a mostly rolling stage with one big climb instead. Things get going with a hilly section heading east from the provincial capital Vitoria-Gasteiz, with the main feature being Alto de la Tejera. It's the final 3.9k of the profile below.
MontevedadoE.gif


Following a flat intermezzo along the Ebro, it's time for the first KOM, Alto de Rivas de Tereso from its easy side.
Rivas3.png


The summit of this climb is on the border with La Rioja, and so we leave Basque territory altogether for a bit, looping through Spain's best-known vineyards that straddle the border here. Soon, it's back into Álava and onwards to the main course of the day, Puerto Herrera. This was a staple of the El Correo era of the Vuelta, but has not been seen from its hardest side since 1978 (the only ascent since then coming two years ago, from the side descended here). Although normally too far from the finish to tempt the GC riders, it should really whittle down the break.
Herrera1.gif


After the descent, there are 40 kilometres left to go. None of them are particularly hard, but there are three small climbs to deal with. The first of these, Alto de Mendilicia, comes at the very beginning of this section.
bernedo-penacerrada-urizaharra.png


A valley road takes the riders through the intermediate sprint in Villafria to the edge of the Izki Natural Park, where the terrain is more undulating. Even so, this side of Alto de San Román de Campezo (the first 6k of the profile below) isn't exactly a monster.
san-roman-de-campezo-bernedo.png


Its descent backs directly into the final hill, Alto de Mantxibio.
arratuzabala-parque-natural-de-izki-korres.png


The final descent is short, but somewhat technical and lasts until just before the flamme rouge - I really hope we don't get another shock sprint finish here. The final 700 metres run gently uphill.
 
If UAE allow Soler to try to steal Vine's KOM (after Vine was so unlucky two years ago, has been a great team mate, and Soler has his stage win) it would be a horrible piece of team management. But maybe my ticket on Vine at 12-1 makes me biased. :)

This should be a cool stage ... massive competition for the break, and an action-packed last 75 minutes. There's almost no chance of a group sprint and it's not impossible there's some GC action, at least for the podium.

If Landa and Carapaz are trying to take serious time on O'Connor, I think this stage presents a better opportunity than Stage 19, where O'Connor can measure his effort on the final climb and probably lose only about 30 seconds. On this stage, if they can isolate and drop him on the climb, then link with a satellite rider like Asgreen for the last 45km, O'Connor's podium hopes could disappear. It's not the most likely thing to happen, but time is running out for Landa and Carapaz to get onto the podium.

McNulty and Zana for me.
 
If UAE allow Soler to try to steal Vine's KOM (after Vine was so unlucky two years ago, has been a great team mate, and Soler has his stage win) it would be a horrible piece of team management. But maybe my ticket on Vine at 12-1 makes me biased. :)

This should be a cool stage ... massive competition for the break, and an action-packed last 75 minutes. There's almost no chance of a group sprint and it's not impossible there's some GC action, at least for the podium.

If Landa and Carapaz are trying to take serious time on O'Connor, I think this stage presents a better opportunity than Stage 19, where O'Connor can measure his effort on the final climb and probably lose only about 30 seconds. On this stage, if they can isolate and drop him on the climb, then link with a satellite rider like Asgreen for the last 45km, O'Connor's podium hopes could disappear. It's not the most likely thing to happen, but time is running out for Landa and Carapaz to get onto the podium.

McNulty and Zana for me.
I tend to think that Carapaz would stand a better chance on Friday stage by long-distance attacking on the penultimate climb and risking that Decathlon won’t follow. I don’t think Roglic would bother following at that time.