Winning margin?

[Armchair Cyclist]

There is another poll for who you think will win, and maybe this should be read in consultation with that, but just how tight are we expexting this to be? Could Bonus seconds, or the gap in the Time Trial, be all there is in it? Have we already seen the gap between the two that will prove to be the difference between them? Could one of them really be hoping that bonus seconds on the Champs Elysses might change the result?

Or will it all be over with several days left.

 

[Nick2413]

I think there will be some bigger drops and the gap will be at least 2 minutes.

 

[rallybanana]

2021 gap was 320 seconds
2022 gap was 163 seconds
So if the gap is half the previous year's gap it should be approximately 80 seconds

 

[Zoetemelk-fan]

2021 gap was 320 seconds
2022 gap was 163 seconds
So if the gap is half the previous year's gap it should be approximately 80 seconds

Or if linear progression:
2023 = 6 secs

 

[SafeBet]

Voted <8 seconds just for the lulz of a hectic Champs-Élysées stage.

 

[Izzyeviel]

Wouldn't surprise me if it goes down to the final TT and we get a repeat of the Giro. Jonas coming from behind to win by a few seconds.

 

[nightowl]

Wouldn't surprise me if it goes down to the final TT and we get a repeat of the Giro. Jonas coming from behind to win by a few seconds.

There’s still 2 serious mountain stages to go after the last TT though

 

[JosefK]

In such tight battles for the yellow jersey as what we now have, it's possible for it to stay close. But I think a more likely scenario is that one of the two reaches a stage where he's hanging onto the other past the red line, unwilling to cede the lead but then paying the price and blowing up, losing lots of time. I think this will happen to either Vingo or Pog later on.

 

[Izzyeviel]

There’s still 2 serious mountain stages to go after the last TT though

*climb

oops

 

[Pantani_lives]

About ten minutes. The pessimist in me keeps expecting that one of the Big Two will drop out for some reason and the other will win easily.

 

[Netserk]

About ten minutes. The pessimist in me keeps expecting that one of the Big Two will drop out for some reason and the other will win easily.

Yet you didn't vote that.

 

[QueenStagiaire]

Yet you didn't vote that.

I don’t think he has voted at all. It‘s a bit like not voting an election despite having a political opinion.

 

[QueenStagiaire]

Only one voter is left in the race.

 

[rallybanana]

Only one voter is left in the race.

Unless Jonas crashes out and we get a UAE battle on Saturday