Scott SoCal said:
I thought the speech was pretty good. I think there is much more pressure on the republicans than you may think there is.
Here's how this bill passes - Obama lays out a plan to all lawmakers showing where the bill is paid for in the short term, NOT OVER 10 YEARS. That is the same as saying the cuts/revenue increases WILL NEVER HAPPEN. This idea where we spend now and cut later is what kills this proposal.
If Obama can do this, and do a good job of taking this plan directly to the people then I think there would be so much pressure to pass this that it might get done.
Let me ask you this, do you think if Obama was willing to pass elements of this bill such as the increase in payroll tax cuts that Republicans would do anything other than pass that portion immediately?
Wow, you show more optimism than I would have imagined.
First, the problem is that you and I both know it will not be paid for immediately. It will be structured to be paid for in later years...and like you point out, the country has about as much patience for that as they do screaming children.
Secondly, no, I don't think the Republicans would jump on cutting payroll taxes based on the fact that they are the ones that want to allow the current payroll tax cuts to expire. What changed this morning? The policy of the Republican party (movement of wealth to the top 5%) was outed earlier this week. (
http://www.truth-out.org/goodbye-all-reflections-gop-operative-who-left-cult/1314907779 ) The political game in Washington is much stronger than the policy game. Washington is no longer a policy game, it is a purely political one. It died the day Reagan got the 1986 tax reform act passed. We moved for the first time in history from well researched and modeled major tax legislation to ideological idea driven tax policy. I am getting the opportunity to study in detail the US Tax Code this semester, and the first thing we did was look at the major provisional changes of the 1986 Act, and how it was presented an structured. The legislative legacy of that bill is an interesting one in a historical context. It was the first time something that important was thrown against the wall to see if it would stick. It was horrific policy, and was the dawn of the fiscal mess we have today in both substantive policy and political gamesmanship.
A friend of mine today posted a quote by Abraham Lincoln that I believe more beautifully expresses my beliefs about where we are headed and why I will keep fighting than anything I have ever read:
"Many free countries have lost their liberty; and ours may lose hers; but if she shall, be it my proudest plume, not that I was the last to desert, but that I never deserted her. I know that the great volcano at Washington, aroused and directed by the evil spirit that reigns there, belching forth the lava of political corruption, in a current broad and deep, which is sweeping with frightful velocity over the whole length and breadth of the land, bidding fair to leave no green spot or living thing, while on its bosom are riding like demons on the waves of Hell, the imps of that evil spirit, and fiendishly taunting all those who dare resist its destroying course, with the hopelessness of their effort; and knowing this, I cannot deny that all may be swept away. Broken by it, I, too, may be; bow to it I never will."
Sadly, the Republican party has gone from the party of men who could express themselves beautifully and competently to Rick Perry who probably finger paints his speeches.
In my estimation, we are screwed, and in reality, I blame Obama as much as anyone. A man with convictions he is unwilling to fight to his last breath for should not be president. Obama is either the weakest Democratic president in modern history, or he is a closet Republican. Anymore, I don't really care which one he is. He ceded to field to the Republicans and their ineffectual policy, and there is no turning back now.