105th Ronde van Vlaanderen: April 4th, 2021

Page 20 - Get up to date with the latest news, scores & standings from the Cycling News Community.
Aug 6, 2010
6,884
6,216
23,180
I think the sprinting abilities are more equal this time. Asgreen has a decent sprint, and MVDP does not have Kristoff's top speed from when he was best. I'd say a long sprint from Asgreen is the only way to beat MVDP, but there needs to be tailwind for that strategy to work.

Good call.
 
Mar 19, 2009
2,121
565
13,080
He was an idiot to ride with van der Poel against van Aert. He would much better have stayed in van der Poel's wheel, who would definitely keep riding to keep van Aert at bay, while van Aert would have had to ride to bridge. Now van Aert is wasting less energy (in case he ever gets back) and van der Poel is wasting less energy (because Asgreen is helping) and he himself (Asgreen) is wasting energy.

He could have attacked van der Poel with 10k to go and he would have had a much bigger chance to win.

Sometimes subjective logic comes back to haunt you..;)
 
Sep 9, 2012
5,276
2,490
20,680
Just contesting that it's not a guarantee to beat MVDP in a longer sprint. Maybe, Wout would have won last year or not. <aybe, he too, wouldn't have had the legs for a longer sprint.
Last year was like a 13-sec effort, in cycling that qualifies as long IMO. It certainly wasn't short.
 
Mar 31, 2015
10,190
4,951
28,180
Right. And it's easy to type up strategy on a keyboard but when you're out there on the road racing it's different.
And then the riders also have people in team cars (on a keyboard perhaps) who are trying to work strategies etc out, except they're in direct contact with the racers and have way more information than us.
 
Clutching at straws a bit here. Asgreen was happy to take pulls as he clearly fancied himself in a two up sprint. He doesn't take pulls, especially when the gap was 20odd seconds with 5km to go, and VdP is happy to sit up and wait for a bunch sprint he may well have won. Asgreen took the gamble and it paid off, because he knew his own strength. Everyone here likes to talk about tactics because its something we like to think we can do to the level of these riders, but in reality these guys are the best in the world for a reason, and strength often wins out anyway.
BS response. I was talking about the moment when van Aert was chasing solo, and van der Poel would have gone 100% just to drop van Aert permanently. I was not talking about when van Aert was back in the group.

And no, these guys are not all master tacticians, and no, there was no way he could predict he was going to beat van der Poel in a straight up sprint. Claiming that, is in fact clutching at straws.

Sometimes subjective logic comes back to haunt you..;)
How so? Because he won the sprint? Doesn't change the fact that he made a tactical mistake.
 
Apr 28, 2010
1,399
391
11,180
I do think Van Aert and VdP burnt too many matches too early in the race.
They did, I mentioned that on a couple of occasions during the race. They're so strong that they tend to do way too much. Mathieu definitely paid the price for that in the final sprint. Will they ever learn?
 
  • Like
Reactions: Sandisfan

Wvv

Jan 3, 2019
1,967
2,816
11,180
Surprise ending. Wow Asgreen, and I appreciate VDPoel being human.

Very, very proud of Greg. It's not winning and that will keep getting harder, but on his age and in these times... Chapeau buddy.
 
Jul 18, 2011
1,776
1,866
13,680
Maybe? Did you see the speed at which they both crossed the line? MVDP just about made it, had the line been 1 m further than it would have likely been a different story.

That's two occasions including today as proof of my theory vs your one proof. Time will tell I suppose.

Well, we saw today that MVDP was looking good for victory but didn't have it for the last 50m. So, you can't say for sure that Wout could have held his speed if he started 50m or 100m earlier.
 
Mar 19, 2009
9,892
1,790
20,680
Is anyone seeing the women's race yet? I thought it was supposed to be on now.
 
May 23, 2009
10,256
1,455
25,680
Just contesting that it's not a guarantee to beat MVDP in a longer sprint. Maybe, Wout would have won last year or not. Maybe, he too, wouldn't have had the legs for a longer sprint.
Van der Poel had also worked a good deal more by that point. If Asgreen didn't have the luxury of Alaphillippe and Seneschal in the group behind it was going to be a different story.
 
Sep 9, 2012
5,276
2,490
20,680
Sure, but there is still a big gap between thinking you've got a shot, and being so confident that you will win against likely the most punchy finisher in small sprints in the world, that you do more work than needed, and actively reducing your own chances. It's good he won, he was the strongest, he won deservedly, but needlessly reduced his own chances. I don't see how you can debate that.
I don't think it was needless. He wanted to get a nice cushion over the rest. Not saying he couldn't have done less and still won of course. But I think he made a sensible choice in the given situation, certainly not a stupid one.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Brullnux
Apr 10, 2019
12,075
15,990
23,180
Asgreen saved the race for DQ, Ala did his best to make them loose the race, but Asgreen was just too strong.
 
Mar 31, 2015
10,190
4,951
28,180
BS response. I was talking about the moment when van Aert was chasing solo, and van der Poel would have gone 100% just to drop van Aert permanently. I was not talking about when van Aert was back in the group.

And no, these guys are not all master tacticians, and no, there was no way he could predict he was going to beat van der Poel in a straight up sprint. Claiming that, is in fact clutching at straws.


How so? Because he won the sprint? Doesn't change the fact that he made a tactical mistake.
Except he quite literally predicted it, held out for the sprint, and won. your whole narrative is based on your own belief of the riders' respective strengths, which is not what Asgreen thought about himself - and to everyone's shock, Asgreen did know more about himself than people on here did.

Asgreen also made the calculation that he felt more comfortable in a two up race than in a three, and that makes sense. A three is more difficult to control, and Asgreen felt/knew he wanted to have as much control over the situation as possible. Plus, Van der Poel could tell how weak Van Aert was, so would've followed every move Asgreen without giving too much regard to the fact he was leading out the (spent) Van Aert.

Your whole issue is that you're not taking into account just how good Asgreen was today. You're treating him as clearly worse than VdP, and someone whose best chance of a win would come by creating chaos and then riding away. But he proved that isn't the case.