staubsauger said:
so no katjoesja, vacansoleil, skill, garmin aqua&sapone and bmc?
cervelo+sky+??? do you really think it's isd? couldn't it more likely be ceramica flaminia because of ricco? he wasn't allowed to start at il giro, so la vuelta would be his gt this year. and without valverde, contador, evans and maybe even sastre, sanchez and mentsjov unipublic need every contender they could get to be competitive to il giro and le tour.
I doubt it. Have Ceramica Flaminia even asked if they can go? I don't think they have.
Now... the Volta a Portugal could be VERY interesting if the likes of Riccò turn up. Several of the Italian continental teams turn up most years there. Michael Rasmussen has spoken of targeting it seeing as it's the longest, most difficult European race accessible to him (of course, the Vuelta a Colombia is the longest, most difficult race outside of the three GTs, but is coterminous with Portugal).
Who's to say Menchov won't go? He used to do two GTs, Tour and Vuelta, and be in top form at the Vuelta. He switched it for 2008 to try and be in best form for the Tour, and it sort of worked, then in 2009 he won the Giro, so he's gone back to his old prep methods to try and be fresh for the Tour.
We just don't know with Menchov, and the Tourmalet stages are still six weeks away, but he hasn't looked too grand so far this season. So perhaps going for a third Vuelta wouldn't be out of the question at all. Caisse will probably be led by Arroyo, though Bruseghin wouldn't be a bad expectation either given how swiftly his Giro derailed; don't think it's a route for him though. It also depends how the likes of Soler go in the Tour; Cobo was top 10 at last year's Vuelta with pretty much no support, remember. Euskaltel will have both Beñat Intxausti and Igor Antón. Mosquera will be around. Gesink too. Shack will contribute somebody useful - Brajkovic, Horner, Zubeldia, Machado, somebody who can compete. Maybe Nibali will show since he's had the Tour off; Liquigas had contenders at all the big races last year, why not this one? Plus, any Tour contender who is disappointed by their performance or results, or drops out injured, will want to make amends, much as Gesink and Evans did last year. Given the field we're projecting for the Tour, there's going to be somebody out there who is going to be squeezed out and not get the results they want, and go to the Vuelta.
Katyusha I expect to get an invite. They'll dangle Joaquím Rodríguez out there. In fact, given the abject lack of TT mileage in this year's Vuelta, and some steep climbs, if he entered it in some form I'd tip him to win it.