2013 Santos Tour Down Under: 20th Jan - 27th Jan

[Maaaaaaaarten]

Maybe Kelderman.

Slagter would be better; he's very punchy.

Don't know if Slagter is a good descender though.....

 

[theyoungest]

Planning to be at stages 1,2,3 and 5. Weather looks pretty good.

Stage 1 likely a sprint finish, unless a large group gets away on Checkers Hill

Still think a strong climber/good descender can grab the lead on stage 2 (sorry Andy). (who could that be? Nibali, Valverde, Sanchez, Evans all not here, any ideas?)

Saw the Argos team training on the Stirling loop today - watch out for Will Clarke on Stage 3!

Is that the stage Clarke won last year? Of course things would have to pan out quite similar for him to win that stage

Matthews would have been a sure bet for the win, but Greenedge decided in all their wisdom to leave him out.

Probably, but most climbers would have to be quite far ahead of him over the top to not be caught on the descent. Unless it's Gilbert in front I think he should be able to catch up with everyone downhill.

Actually I don't think the climb looks that super hard on the video, maybe EBH will attack himself.

 

[Tragic]

Probably, but most climbers would have to be quite far ahead of him over the top to not be caught on the descent. Unless it's Gilbert in front I think he should be able to catch up with everyone downhill.

It's only the first half thats technical so you may be right.

 

[Tragic]

Actually I don't think the climb looks that super hard on the video, maybe EBH will attack himself.[/QUOTE]

The climb is one of the hardest in the Adelaide Hills, but admittedly short.

 

[Tragic]

Is that the stage Clarke won last year? Of course things would have to pan out quite similar for him to win that stage

Matthews would have been a sure bet for the win, but Greenedge decided in all their wisdom to leave him out.


Actually I don't think the climb looks that super hard on the video, maybe EBH will attack himself.

It's one of the hardest climbs in the area, but short.

 

[Spider1964]

Rode stage 2 corkscrew climb today.. Tough little climb.. Especially in the wind.. But it's done in under 10 minutes, so not enough to be game breaking. Will take some casualties though.

 

[auscyclefan94]

Is that the stage Clarke won last year? Of course things would have to pan out quite similar for him to win that stage

Matthews would have been a sure bet for the win, but Greenedge decided in all their wisdom to leave him out.


Actually I don't think the climb looks that super hard on the video, maybe EBH will attack himself.

The climb is rather difficult, especially the latter section according to some. An attacker with decent legs could get away and win.

 

[Ferminal]

Is that the stage Clarke won last year? Of course things would have to pan out quite similar for him to win that stage

Wouldn't rule it out, no one ever wants to chase on that circuit (especially teams with sprinters). Always seems left to Unzue's mob to try and make something happen.

Think this year though starting on a climb, hopefully it means a few bigger names trying to get into the break. A group of 10+ out front would cause real headaches.

 

[El Pistolero]

Gilbert tweets we have to watch stage 2 lol.

 

[barmaher]

I get the impression that Gilbert is wound up for this race.

 

[Gloin22]

Gilbert tweets we have to watch stage 2 lol.

Every rider commenting on TdU has been saying this ...

 

[UncleTupelo]

hello all,

first post here.

looking forward to the start of the season & TDU.

I've been looking at the betting market

http://www.oddschecker.com//cycling/tour-down-under/winner

Gilbert @ 20/1 with Hills looks attractive

Thoughts on the betting anyone

 

[maltiv]

hello all,

first post here.

looking forward to the start of the season & TDU.

I've been looking at the betting market

http://www.oddschecker.com//cycling/tour-down-under/winner

Gilbert @ 20/1 with Hills looks attractive

Thoughts on the betting anyone

On the link you posted Gilbert is 10/1 at best? Which is still quite a good bet imo.

I imagine the dutchies will put all their money on Slagter @ 66/1

 

[UncleTupelo]

On the link you posted Gilbert is 10/1 at best? Which is still quite a good bet imo.

I imagine the dutchies will put all their money on Slagter @ 66/1

Hills now 5/1, all value spent.

20/1 was just plain wrong.

 

[iZnoGouD]

Andy Schleck at 101.00 ^^

 

[jens_attacks]

easy money for overall

Andrey Kashechkin 151.00

 

[Vino attacks everyone]

easy money for overall

Andrey Kashechkin 151.00

a safe bet indeed

 

[iZnoGouD]

not sure if you guys are serious or not
i feel like spending some $$ on this race, what are the chances of him winning?

 

[Vino attacks everyone]

not sure if you guys are serious or not
i feel like spending some $$ on this race, what are the chances of him winning?

who, Kash?

Well if my dreams are a good indicator, he will win for sure. In the real world, it is... well his acceleration has never been his strongest side, not even in top shape

 

[seaby71]

Simon clarke is a good back up for Gerrans, I think he is in better form than Gerrans at the moment. The fact that green edge have hardly talked about him in this race is a bit of a hint for me . Also the fact the tab put him up at 100 -1 (thank you mr bookmaker ) and now he is 20 -1. Still great each way value

 

[Ferminal]

lol no value anywhere now, Kash and Astarloza it is.

 

[greenedge]

If only Sagan (not Juraj) would come here. He could probably go ok at stage 5 and he could catch back on the descent of Corkscrew and he would get wins on at least 1 sprint stage.

I think Haas has a good chance to go well and has odds of 50:1.

 

[auscyclefan94]

My pick for the overall is Peter Velits. Was very strong in Oman earlier last year and I think he should be able to do well on Wilunga and other stages to take the win. Has a strong sprint as well.

 

[Parrulo]

correct me if i am wrong but isn't the first stage tonight?

 

[Pentacycle]

correct me if i am wrong but isn't the first stage tonight?

You mean the criterium Greipel will win? Yes, that takes place tonight.