2013 World Championships Firenze. Who will win?

[Ryo Hazuki]

The most exciting worlds course since Boyacá,

Who will win

I know there are plenty of guys i left out. People who are on giro tour schedules especially.

Edit: lol what an idiot. I added Schleck in before Rodriguez facepalm)

dude are you for real? the course isn't greta at all. the only climb of importance is nothung until the final 1.5 km at what 7%? anyone can win this

 

[Ryo Hazuki]

I agree, 2009-Mendrisio-Cancellara could win this.

2008 beijing cancellara was way better

 

[Ryo Hazuki]

One of the Colombians. What a team they have for this. I hope Valverde will finally get this one though.

henao
uran
betancurt
quintana
serpa
duarte
chaves
rubiano
atapuma/pantano/ospina/anacona/sarmiento/duque/chalapud

mother of god. best wc team I can think of in many years for any country

 

[Ruudz0r]

Santambrogio!

 

[Lupetto]

Colombia has eight riders in WT Teams, so they will have a maximum of eight riders in this race.

Let's not forget that this race is 280 km's long. Longest course since 1981. You can clearly see, that Zomegnan is involved in this.

 

[wwabbit]

Any hope for JTL?

 

[element]

Dan Martin, because I am Irish and reasoning emotionally.

 

[Miburo]

henao
uran
betancurt
quintana
serpa
duarte
chaves
rubiano
atapuma/pantano/ospina/anacona/sarmiento/duque/chalapud

mother of god. best wc team I can think of in many years for any country

You've a short memory. Spain in 2012?

Freire, Purito, Contador, valverde, sami, moreno, flecha?

 

[Pentacycle]

Dan Martin, because I am Irish and reasoning emotionally.

You're reasoning rationally as well; the rider who wins the toughest hilly one-day race so far of the season, is automatically a big favourite on such a circuit.

 

[Pharazon]

Nibali for me

 

[il_fiammingo]

Nibali. He'll take some time off after the Giro and build up to the Vuelta / Worlds.

Even with his Worlds 2012 form, I think it'll be too hard for Gilbert. Only Gilbert 2011 would have stood a chance.

 

[serfla]

dude are you for real? the course isn't greta at all. the only climb of importance is nothung until the final 1.5 km at what 7%? anyone can win this

Please tell me you're kidding.
It's twelve times over the final two climbs on the profile.

 

[rainman]

Would love to see Dan Martin win it but he wont have the benefit of a super strong Hesjedal working for him. (Still a possible though).
Going with Betancur backed by excellent Colombian squad.

 

[Contadoraus Schlecks]

3 times 2nd in the Tour de France, 2nd in the Giro, WINNER, Liege Bastogne Liege, podium Liege Bastogne Liege, 5th place olympic road race.

When you have a 28 year old in the field with that palmares going into a worlds which has as much climbing in it as a Giro dolomite stage, ya, he has a chance.

Well said, doesn't get the respect he deserves.

 

[serfla]

First, a fast ascent, then a tricky descent and a nasty final kick.
Combined with length it certainly have been designed for Nibali.

 

[ILovecycling]

Valverde or Quintana,cos the won't be in the same team

 

[Duartista]

Colombia has eight riders in WT Teams, so they will have a maximum of eight riders in this race.

Let's not forget that this race is 280 km's long. Longest course since 1981. You can clearly see, that Zomegnan is involved in this.

They may well end up with fewer riders than last year (7) - Sarmiento, Anacona (injured), Serpa (working for Scarponi in the Giro) and Ospina are far from certain to score any WT points before the cut-off date, so they will probably only get 6 riders.

 

[Ryo Hazuki]

why do they need wt points?

 

[taiwan]

Purito FTW.

 

[cineteq]

Lo Squalo should be the easy winner. This is a big target for him besides the Giro.

 

[The Hitch]

Colombia has eight riders in WT Teams, so they will have a maximum of eight riders in this race.

Let's not forget that this race is 280 km's long. Longest course since 1981. You can clearly see, that Zomegnan is involved in this.

such a shame. I was looking forward to some of those continental riders who are superior climbers to Nibali, making the early moves.

 

[Duartista]

why do they need wt points?

Because the top 10 teams in the WT get 9 riders, but only if they have 9 riders who have scored WT points. That's why last year, Slovakia, for example, had only six riders although they were in the top 10. Places not taken up by those teams are redistributed to the teams ranked 11-15, so that's why Colombia had an extra rider in addition to the six they were entitled to as the leading team on the Americas Tour. As they seem almost certain to be in the top 10 countries this year, they need all of their WT riders to score points.

 

[Duartista]

such a shame. I was looking forward to some of those continental riders who are superior climbers to Nibali, making the early moves.

Don't worry, continental riders can still be selected for the team. It's just that their results won't count when deciding rider allocations.

This is all assuming that the UCI haven't changed the rules since last year.

 

[kjetilraknerud]

They may well end up with fewer riders than last year (7) - Sarmiento, Anacona (injured), Serpa (working for Scarponi in the Giro) and Ospina are far from certain to score any WT points before the cut-off date, so they will probably only get 6 riders.

It's the points of the nation as a whole that determines how many riders can enter the world championships. As I can recall, the top 10 nations get nine riders - Colombia are second at the moment.

 

[Netserk]

I tried to map Via Salviaiti: (and made the graph myself...)

Data I used:
Via Salviati: 610m @ 9.8% (81m-141m=60m)

260m 10% (81-107)
130m 19% (107-131)
220m 4.5% (131-141)

______

Via Trento I get to 140m @ ~10%