42x16ss said:
dirkprovin said:
42x16ss said:
Ewan to really get amongst it, top 3 minimum. It's taken the very top sprinters (Cav, Kristoff, Kittel, Greipel) to beat him, and it's still early, so fatigue shouldn't be an issue.
Sorry but I have to disagree. All his wins have been at non-WT level with few 2nd level, let alone elite level, sprinters present. At this point, he lacks the physical strength to sustain top pace and is likely to be washed away even if he makes it to the finish.... which is far from certain.
He's had issues holding the pace of WT peletons to date & GT is another step up in pace & intensity gain; something the Yates twins found last year ..... and they were a helluva lot further developed physically than Ewan. I expect this Vuelta to be a hard, harsh learning experience ..... for as long as he's able to stay in.
In short, "he ain't ready for prime-time" ..... and I have distinct doubts whether he ever really will be as a sprinter & he's not good enough going uphill to suggest classics at this point.
Huh? This is only his third WT race this year, he crashed out of Catalunya and it took Kittel to beat him at Poland. It also took Kristoff to beat him at Norway where he got two 2nds by less than a wheel. Cav barely edged him out in Turkey and he finished ahead of Modolo, Greipel, Ratto and Bos.
Then there's the 2 firsts, 3 2nds against guardini, Chicchi, Sutton and Pettachi at Langkawi. Not bad at all for such a small kid who only turned 21 last month.
I often agree with you & respect your views but I will have to differ with you most astringently with regards to Ewan.
To answer, your points:
- Langkawi: Pettachi was once the top of the tree but that was a long time ago & the rest ..... not even 2nd tier.
- Turkey: Second to Cav - yes ...... on one stage. Nowhere for the other sprint stages.
- Poland: Kittel was the only top liner there; rest 2nd/3rd tier
- Norway: Again, Kristoff the only top liner. The rest lower tier or quick punchy riders.
Sorry but I think he's grossly over hyped, especially by Australians, and I have major doubts that he'll ever live up to most of it. Yes, he's brought in a sack of wins this year but how many of them in races that have any international credence ..... La Rioja & to a degree Langkawi.
Yes, he can be quick and MAY be capable of a high finish on a one-off basis ..... but against the big boys on a day-in/day-out basis; I have major doubts whether he'll ever be strong enough or have a big enough engine.