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2016 TdF, Stage 13: Bg-St-Andéol → Caverne Pont-d'Arc (38km)

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Oct 5, 2015
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Re: 2016 TdF, Stage 13: Bg-St-Andéol → Caverne Pont-d'Arc (3

1st to finish:

BENNETT S. BOA in 58' 55''

How fast will the best ones be?
 
Aug 12, 2009
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Re: Re:

SafeBet said:
OmieeZF said:
That says nohing, he will be fine. Quintana not so much.
Froome has ridden 3 >15km ITTs since 2014 and he hasn't been superhuman in any of them.
Quintana has ridden many more and has multiple good results.

Shape could be the issue of course, but if Quintana is feeling well I think it'll be much closer than people are expecting.

I would have agreed 3-4 days ago. Even 2 days ago. Quintana has improved remarkably.

However his fatigue and lack of power yesterday on Mt Ventoux, to me is a bigger tell. He'll lose quite a bit of time one would think based on not having the power yesterday. If he were with Froome, Porte and Mollema, I'd expect something strong from him...now? I expect him to lose over a minute easily. Maybe 90 seconds, where as before I thought he'd lose 45 tops.

Froome has some serious time to gain to control the mountains for the third week. The time gaps for the top 12 are very close, it will be very interesting. A good ride could see you gain time, and a poor one could see a rider drop every advantage they've gained the last 12 days.

That's why it's the race of truth. No hiding out there today.
 
Aug 12, 2009
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Re: Re:

SlickMongoose said:
Winkin' boy said:
Froome, Porte, TJVG and Yates will be very close, the difference between them shouldn't be bigger than 30-45 seconds.

Yates thinks Froome will catch him (per the backstage pass from yesterday).

I am unfamiliar with his time trail results, but it's 2 minute gaps right? If he thinks that, he could drop serious time today.

I expect Porte to catch Purito as well. Gonna be good viewing.

Anyone who finishes 2 mins within Froome, should he be strong, has done well IMO.
 
The wind is so strong again today that a rider like Quintana will really find it difficult ....he is so small

Tour could be over after today

(P.S. I think that has been Quintana's problem...fighting for position in the peloton without teammates to help has done plum knackered him out ....Altitude training in Columbia is no prep for cross winds)
 
Mar 14, 2016
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Re: Re:

Galic Ho said:
SlickMongoose said:
Winkin' boy said:
Froome, Porte, TJVG and Yates will be very close, the difference between them shouldn't be bigger than 30-45 seconds.

Yates thinks Froome will catch him (per the backstage pass from yesterday).

I am unfamiliar with his time trail results, but it's 2 minute gaps right? If he thinks that, he could drop serious time today.
3 for the top GC riders.
 
Jul 15, 2016
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I think this is a very interesting TT. Usually there are one or two main favorites for an ITT, but today I can see quite a few riders battling it out for the win. Dumoulin has to be the favorite. Froome's TT abilities are a bit unknown. He hasn't been great the last few years but he seems in stellar form - especially on the flats. Martin is of course always a strong contender when it comes to time trials, but he hasn't been that strong the last two years. Then we have Dennis, though some here says that his time doesn't look that good. Cancellara you can never rule out completely, and he has been time trialing very well this year, but he doesn't seem in that good shape. Then we have a whole bunch of names that could go well: Porte, Izagirre, Kelderman, Cummings, Coppel etc. Very exciting.

Edit: How do you see the intermediate times on the race center?
 
Re: Re:

Galic Ho said:
SafeBet said:
OmieeZF said:
That says nohing, he will be fine. Quintana not so much.
Froome has ridden 3 >15km ITTs since 2014 and he hasn't been superhuman in any of them.
Quintana has ridden many more and has multiple good results.

Shape could be the issue of course, but if Quintana is feeling well I think it'll be much closer than people are expecting.

I would have agreed 3-4 days ago. Even 2 days ago. Quintana has improved remarkably.

However his fatigue and lack of power yesterday on Mt Ventoux, to me is a bigger tell. He'll lose quite a bit of time one would think based on not having the power yesterday. If he were with Froome, Porte and Mollema, I'd expect something strong from him...now? I expect him to lose over a minute easily. Maybe 90 seconds, where as before I thought he'd lose 45 tops.

Froome has some serious time to gain to control the mountains for the third week. The time gaps for the top 12 are very close, it will be very interesting. A good ride could see you gain time, and a poor one could see a rider drop every advantage they've gained the last 12 days.

That's why it's the race of truth. No hiding out there today.

My sentiments on the race too.