Giro d'Italia 2022 Giro d'Italia, Stage 21: Verona – Verona 17.4 km ITT (Sunday, May 29th)

[Netserk]

From @Eshnar's excellent 2022 Giro d'Italia: Stage-by-stage Analysis thread: https://forum.cyclingnews.com/threads/2022-giro-ditalia-stage-by-stage-analysis.37819/#post-2691581

Stage 21: Verona – Verona 17.4 km ITT
Sunday, May 29th, 13:55 CET

Technical Overview:
The “long” Time Trial of this Giro comes on the final day, and it is only 17 km long on the classic circuit in Verona, pretty much the same route as 2019. It features the last GPM of the Giro, Torricelle (GPM4, 4.6 km at 5.1%) which should not do much damage to anyone. If anything, its descent will make this ITT even less specialist friendly. All in all, only 8 km of this are flat…

Final km:

The Climbs:

Torricelle: GPM4, 4.6 km at 5.1%
Little more than a false flat. No profile.

What to expect:
Small gaps that will be meaningful only if the GC is really close. And then the celebrations.

Verona

 

[Netserk]

Start list: https://www.tissottiming.com/File/000314010B010115FFFFFFFFFFFFFF02

First rider: 14:00, Roger Kluge
10th GC: 16:21, Hugh Carthy
Last rider: 16:48, Jai Hindley

GC before the stage:

No changes in the top-10?

 

[sir fly]

I'm struggling to locate the .4 differing from the previous one here.

 

[Eclipse]

The only GC "battles" we have are Carthy vs Lopez and Hirt vs Bilbao lol T_T

 

[Red Rick]

Consdiering how identical it is comparing the average speeds of the ITT should be interesting to 2010 and 2019

 

[Mayomaniac]

Sobrero could be an interestimg pick for the stage win. He rode grupetto in the mountains and didn't have to work for any teammates.

 

[Red Rick]

Sobrero could be an interestimg pick for the stage win. He rode grupetto in the mountains and didn't have to work for any teammates.

Is this another "let's pick literally a top 2 favorite as dark horse" take?

 

[Eeslliw]

Carapaz to pull Pogacar 2.0. He wanted to lose the leaders jersey, so he won't have to ride in the slow TT skin suit and will demolish Hindely who will crack under pressure (deja vu from 2020 Giro).

 

[Red Rick]

One final time in Il Giro d'Italia

Vincenzo Nibali will win this bike race.

I will hope for one last time.

 

[Sestriere]

Kämna for second stage win.

 

[Lequack]

Can MVDP win this?

 

[Amazinmets87]

5 seconds per kilometre for Carapaz. '94 Big Mig couldn't pull this off

 

[Netserk]

Can MVDP win this?

Van der Poel, De Gendt, Cort, Sobrero, Schmidt, Affini, Castroviejo, Dowsett, Arensman, Kelderman, Kämna.

 

[Red Rick]

5 seconds per kilometre for Carapaz. '94 Big Mig couldn't pull this off

Imagine Big Mig on modern ITT setups.

I bet 60kph hour record

 

[ashhutch1997]

I think at this rate Carapaz is going to have to work hard to keep his second place in GC, if he has come down with the same bug as Porte

 

[Amazinmets87]

Imagine Big Mig on modern ITT setups.

I bet 60kph hour record

'22 technology and '94 doping controls? That would be a sight to behold.

 

[Armchair Cyclist]

So Carapaz needs 4.89 seconds per km over Hindley

When they have TTed against each other previously:

Race	Distance	Carapaz's advantage	seconds/km
Vuelta 2018 St 1	8	4	0.50
Vuelta 2018 St 16	32	-78	-2.44
Giro 2019 St 1	8	44	5.50
Giro 2019 St 9	34.8	147	4.22
Giro 2019 St 21	17	6	0.35
Catalunya 2021 St 2	18.5	32	1.73
T-Adriatico 2022 St 1	13.9	18	1.29
Giro 2022 St 2	9.2	6	0.65

It happened once in 8 meetings, but I can't see it, barring some mechanical catastrophe. Nor do I see anyone else expecting it.

Giro 2019 St 21 was essentially the same ride, but Carapaz was enjoying the defence of a comfortable lead, and Hindley had nothing to ride for.

We've all been saying that Carapaz should beat Hindley on the TT, but I think that today's efforts will have hurt the Ecuadorian more. I place the difference between them tomorrow as <10s to Hindley's advantage. Or Carapaz will blow up entirely and lose second.

 

[noob]

I think at this rate Carapaz is going to have to work hard to keep his second place in GC, if he has come down with the same bug as Porte

Is it confirmed Carapaz is ill??

 

[ashhutch1997]

Is it confirmed Carapaz is ill??

No idea, I'm just speculating haha!

 

[staubsauger]

Van der Poel, De Gendt, Cort, Sobrero, Schmidt, Affini, Castroviejo, Dowsett, Arensman, Kelderman, Kämna.

Konovalovas?

 

[Netserk]

Yes, him as well. But there's no stand out favourite.

 

[Red Rick]

Hindley will top 10

 

[CyclistAbi]

Will watch it but this years Giro edition was reserved for climbers and it got resolved in mountains.

 

[Ilmaestro99]

Vincenzo will win the stage, its a very technical course

 

[Dekker_Tifosi]

Vincenzo will win the stage, its a very technical course

Vincenzo 10 years ago maybe