Giro d'Italia 2022 Giro d'Italia, Stage 9: Isernia – Blockhaus 189 km (Sunday, May 15th)

[Lequack]

Finally some GC action! It only took 9 stages, but it's here!

 

[Lequack]

What is the chance of the first 4 on the GC not losing time tomorrow? Meaning Lopez, Kamna, Martin or Taramae.

 

[Red Rick]

What is the chance of the first 4 on the GC not losing time tomorrow? Meaning Lopet, Kamna, Martin or Taramae.

0

 

[Lequack]

I still have faith in Lopez .

 

[Hugo Koblet]

Ah, Blockhaus. One of my favorite climbs. Just the name is awesome and sounds terrifying. Can't wait for the stage! Porte ftw!

 

[Valv.Piti]

Blokhus, my favourite West Coast beach in Denmark!

 

[Mayomaniac]

Bora should try to make the race hard. Buchmann, Kämna and Hindley all benefit of a hard race and I really don't see them taking it easy because of Kelderman.

 

[Red Rick]

Ah, Blockhaus. One of my favorite climbs. Just the name is awesome and sounds terrifying. Can't wait for the stage! Porte ftw!

It has the sound of a Cat 2 finish in the Deutchlad Tour.

 

[ice&fire]

I still have faith in Lopez .

He will increase his gap to G Martin

 

[Red Rick]

I want to believe in Landa...but I just really don't

Nibali eats all that power one needs to believe despite knowing better

 

[JosefK]

This will be the day when the great and now freed Lantani arises and stamps ferociously on the . . . oh, who am I kidding?

 

[capuldemetal]

my dream start of a stage..up and then even higher!

 

[carton]

0

To be more, precise, I'd say about 0.2% or about 1 in 500

Seriously, even if this is raced conservatively you should at least see significant GC gaps. But it is proper MTF served up the day before a rest day, with a proper mountain pass leading on to it, and plenty of VAM to soften the legs in the lead-up. I think it is still somewhat optimistic to expect proper GC attacks before the 5km-to-go banner, but I would be a bit disappointed if they come much later than that.

 

[SHAD0W93]

This will be the day when the great and now freed Lantani arises and stamps ferociously on the . . . oh, who am I kidding?

This is the day you will always remember as the day you almost caught Landa being free.

 

[WKA311]

Kämna will be nowhere near the magila rosa. This stage suits Juanpe far more than him. Etna had extended periods of shallow gradients which suited Kämna. Same for the wind above the treeline which Juanpe had more difficulty dealing with.

Kämna will lose quite a bit of time here imo. Especially given his active racing style these last days. I think his current level is a bit overrated by some. He was still saying he is missing some last per cent to top shape after Etna. So I'm not expecting him to be a Top 10 climber here.
I'm expecting Bora to be active though. It seems to me that Kelderman is their main guy thus far so I expect Buchmann/Hindley to try for early attacks. Especially Buchmann. He lost a minute due to his TT crash, had illness disrupt his prep and basically nothing to lose. Couple that with him liking to ride offensive and he will surely try something. Hindley is kind of a black box at this point. Was ill in preparation too but seems good. Hiding a lot, so maybe Bora want to surprise people a bit with his level. With Kämna I could see him attack and try to forca a break on Rionero Sanitico if Bora want to force things. Wilco will surely follow the leaders. That suits him best and reserves him the no risk option.

 

[Cookster15]

I hope Porte and Carapaz are prominent. Porte's final season and he will be motivated. He has already shown in this race he has good climbing form and I suspect Carapaz has saved himself so far. We will see.

 

[Bonimenier]

I still have faith in Lopez .

I have more faith in another Lopez staying high in GC and he isn't even here anymore.

 

[Skalman]

I Hope Yates does one of his all to few peekaboo appearances tomorrow and explodes the field.
More likely though is that Ineos tries it already on Passo Lanciano

 

[gregrowlerson]

I still have faith in Lopez .

Red Rick still has faith in racing.

For the moment. IF that happens then we know where his button is.

 

[gregrowlerson]

Blokhus, my favourite West Coast beach in Denmark!

I'm changing my stage winner prediction to Magnus Cort Nielsen.

 

[gregrowlerson]

To be more, precise, I'd say about 0.2% or about 1 in 500

Seriously, even if this is raced conservatively you should at least see significant GC gaps. But it is proper MTF served up the day before a rest day, with a proper mountain pass leading on to it, and plenty of VAM to soften the legs in the lead-up. I think it is still somewhat optimistic to expect proper GC attacks before the 5km-to-go banner, but I would be a bit disappointed if they come much later than that.

Even without attacks, some significant riders will be dropped before that banner. The questions are how significant and how many?

 

[Unterlenkerfahrend]

Yeah there's no way Kämna loses only a minute to Yates. I like him but his chance for pink was yesterday and I think he knows that. At least he can still have a try to hang on because I don't think he'll have to so domestique work for Keldermann or Buchmann who themselves just have to sit in and follow.

 

[The Barb]

Not at all confident who wins the stage (Landa or Carapaz?) but I’m very confident it will be a GC day. Honestly I’m extremely surprised that a few people whose opinion I respect think the break has a good chance.

Ineos has a full (and strong) team and it’s been softly ridden so far
+
Ineos will also believe the have the strongest climber
+
Possible help from Bahrain
+
Rest day tomorrow
+
Yates is possibly injured and vulnerable
=
Almost no chance for the break.

 

[gregrowlerson]

I Hope Yates does one of his all to few peekaboo appearances tomorrow and explodes the field.
More likely though is that Ineos tries it already on Passo Lanciano

Yep, that penultimate climb does look perfect for choo-chooing.

 

[Tonton]

He will increase his gap to G Martin

...but Martin will do enough en route to a 7th place finish in Verona