Team breakdown!
I didn't really like most of the options above 2500 points. Van Empel has zero space for improvement unless she races more this year, Nieuwenhuis is starting the season with illness + had a career year last season, Alvarado I also wouldn't back to break even, Van der Haar and Brand are ageing, and Iserbyt is really expensive.
In the end, I needed to sink the points somewhere, so Iserbyt went right in as a head-over-heart pick (already regretting that, if he gets the suspension he deserves he won't be worth it), then I also went with Brand on the basis that she's starting her season earlier this year + doesn't really look like slowing down. That was initially it, until I couldn't figure out the right combination of second-tier picks for my final slots and wound up going with Van der Haar too in the hopes that we have less mud this year.
One price range lower, the options were more plentiful. Vanthourenhout was a shoe-in for me, then I was initially planning to take one of Vandeputte, Pieterse and Bakker as one of my two final riders but none of them paired well with rider 18. So we move down a little bit further to the extremely obvious Sweeck, and - based on an impressive win in Kleeberg - Van der Heijden.
In the 1300-1400 zone, there were lots of riders with room to grow. I'm really excited to see what Casasola can do on a big team and racing a full schedule, Nys and Backstedt were obvious as the biggest talents in that age bracket, and Bentveld is more committed to CX than either of those + should also be able to take a step up this year. Finally, I also went for Betsema, who is probably past her best but was also just unlucky with injuries last year.
Moving into the triple-digits, there were lots of exciting picks on paper, but I couldn't fit many given the budget. Van Aert is my 18th rider, for defensive purposes + because he's hinted (and Iserbyt expects) he will take to the fields a bit earlier this winter. Clauzel and Strohmeyer pretty much had to go in after the decision was made to include the pre-deadline points, Vas is supposedly already starting in Woerden + was held back by some fitness issues last year (notably missing out on the Worlds with sickness when she had finally hit form), Kuypers missed the final two months last year + is at an age where he should still be improving, and Verstrynge is the most exciting U23 alumnus which usually translates to big points improvements. Finally, Aerts should be on every team whose manager has realised you can pick riders outside the top 100 too.