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77th Tour de Romandie (2.UWT) // 23rd - 28th of April 2024

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yes or no


  • Total voters
    52
Unlikely indeed, but not impossible, with 3 guys within 11 seconds. All it takes is a small gap in the final 100 meters + 10 boni seconds. I don't get the feeling we are seeing the absolute best Ayuso here, tbh. His TT was good, but not on a different level compared to Vlasov, Rodriguez and Van Wilder. They all finished within 10s and had the same weather conditions.
But Ayuso is not an alien like Pogacar or Vingegaard.
 
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Close enough for the title to be in play tomorrow. Adam Yates is 52" behind in GC, so they only have Ayuso to ride for.

EDIT: Official GC:
GMGg2fTWQAAj9ML
here are the "real" gaps as well, in case they end up at s.t.

PrologueStage 1Stage 2Stage 3TOTALGAP
Ayuso0:03:01,953:49:58,004:03:00,000:20:27,288:16:27,23
van Wilder0:02:59,863:49:58,004:03:00,000:20:36,858:16:34,71+07,48
Vlasov0:03:02,553:49:58,004:03:00,000:20:36,098:16:36,64+09,41
Rodriguez0:03:05,723:49:58,004:03:00,000:20:34,498:16:38,21+10,98
Martinez0:03:01,893:49:58,004:03:00,000:20:50,868:16:50,75+23,52
Lipowitz0:03:06,563:49:58,004:02:58,000:20:56,738:16:59,29+32,06
Plapp0:03:12,663:49:58,004:02:44,000:21:05,528:17:00,18+32,95
Armirail0:03:08,093:49:58,004:03:27,000:20:29,248:17:02,33+35,10
Voisard0:03:03,483:49:58,004:03:00,000:21:01,048:17:02,52+35,29
Caruso0:03:03,963:49:58,004:03:00,000:21:01,758:17:03,71+36,48
 
Lenny Martinez is a surprisingly capable TTer for his size. Imo already a more complete rider that freaking Gaudu...
He showed earlier this year in the neutralized ITT at O Gran Camino that he's not a bad TT-er and his win at Laigueglia holding off Ayuso & Christen showed he can keep up a good pace on the flat.
Quintana became a decent TT-er so Martinez should be able to as well. (1 minute up on Gaudu now after the TT) - go little Lenny M!
 
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Is 14k at 6% enough to make anything happen? I guess the action could start 50k out.
Second part of the climb has 4km between 6.5 - 8.8%, i guess if we are to see something, we'll have to wait til then. Differences are small, i can't imagine anybody in the top 10 taking the risk of going from far, with the intent to do the descent, valley and the entire final climb alone. Perhaps guys like Bernal, Gaudu, Arensman or Hindley could try it. They are far enough back and they have a teammate close to Aysuso. It could force UAE/Ayuso to overplay their hand so Vlasov, Martinez or Rodriguez could benefit. But honestly, all UAE has to do then is send Yates along for the ride. But there are still a few plays to be made.
 
Second part of the climb has 4km between 6.5 - 8.8%, i guess if we are to see something, we'll have to wait til then. Differences are small, i can't imagine anybody in the top 10 taking the risk of going from far, with the intent to do the descent, valley and the entire final climb alone. Perhaps guys like Bernal, Gaudu, Arensman or Hindley could try it. They are far enough back and they have a teammate close to Aysuso. It could force UAE/Ayuso to overplay their hand so Vlasov, Martinez or Rodriguez could benefit. But honestly, all UAE has to do then is send Yates along for the ride. But there are still a few plays to be made.
There is an uncategorized climb of 1 km @ 9% prior to the final climb so someone could use that as a launching pad. Doubt it though.
 
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Is 14k at 6% enough to make anything happen? I guess the action could start 50k out.
Second part of the climb has 4km between 6.5 - 8.8%, i guess if we are to see something, we'll have to wait til then. Differences are small, i can't imagine anybody in the top 10 taking the risk of going from far, with the intent to do the descent, valley and the entire final climb alone. Perhaps guys like Bernal, Gaudu, Arensman or Hindley could try it. They are far enough back and they have a teammate close to Aysuso. It could force UAE/Ayuso to overplay their hand so Vlasov, Martinez or Rodriguez could benefit. But honestly, all UAE has to do then is send Yates along for the ride. But there are still a few plays to be made.
2006 was pretty good, when they did this climb for the last time (in 2017 the finish was the same as well, but only using the final 5k)

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HpkpbggZesk


 
Why do people (fans and even riders it seems) this stage to be any different than just a fight in the last 5km? The only hard climb is now, with 100+k to go. Way too much flat parts too to do anything before the last climb, and that climb isn't hard at all. Hope I'm wrong ofcourse, but I don't see how this stage seems way too easy to control. Hope they at least go hard on the climb right now.
 
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