First, I need to admit a mistake in my post above.
US Track and Field did have more tests than cycling, or swimming, with 6,473 athletes tested between 2000 and 2010.
My apologies.
The Hitch said:
I would propose that in America swimming is both a bigger sport and a more popular sport. While our thing is simply the basic a to b who is the fastest on a bike idea, swimming covers several different disciplines, provides half the medals at the olympics, and Americans dominate it.
So it should have more tests.
Please recall the following statement:
It just means its doing more than other sports.
On an absolute and relative basis, that is not true in the US at least.
Maybe swimming does have more athletes and more tests. But, it still does more tests per athlete. That is doing more!
And, if it is 'volume' of tests that is the metric, then you have to credit swimming - and track and field as it turns out - here.
Of course, it is only effectiveness that means anything.
Don't you think that to claim any sport is doing more than any other, we need to have the following information:
Percentage of dopers at Time 1
Percentage of dopers at Time 2
Number of tests conducted between Time 1 and Time 2
Number of positives and banned athletes caught by Tests
If cycling is doing more than any other sport, then it should have done better (less increase, or bigger decrease) in the percentage of dopers between Time 1 and Time 2.
To take credit for the improved or relative improvement, cycling will need to demonstrate that the tests conducted actually caught dopers and that these results were upheld after adjudication.
Until then, statements that 'cycling is doing more' cannot be validated.
This is projection and not fact.
The Hitch said:
Also Dave i present to you Dr Maseratis statistics from a few months ago which tell a very different story
Thanks, I do recall these numbers. Also, please add for comparison the IAAF numbers - also lower than the UCI numbers (4,784 tests in 2009). But, with a notable exception, the IAAF does provide a total of EPO tests conducted (1,612 in 2009 - almost a third of their testing). As we know, the UCI did not pursue EPO tests during the Tour when they were advised otherwise, and where the Passport data suggested otherwise.
As Maserati noted in his original post, many of the UCI 'tests' are for blood passport. If you subtract those (which I did for you before), cycling did have more tests.
But, as noted above, what did the tests accomplish?
As noted, I would be more than happy if you could prove my assertion wrong. Seriously. This will take the above noted information, however.
In respect of you and your position, I have invested considerable time compiling the information from the USADA site into a massive Excel data file.
Here is a further comparison of top athletes:
2010 Lance Armstrong 6
2009 Lance Armstrong 6
2008 Lance Armstrong 3
2005 Lance Armstrong 3
2004 Lance Armstrong 5
2003 Lance Armstrong 1
2002 Lance Armstrong 1
2001 Lance Armstrong 2
2010 Kathryn Hoff 3
2009 Kathryn Hoff 9
2008 Kathryn Hoff 1
2007 Kathryn Hoff 5
2006 Kathryn Hoff 9
2005 Kathryn Hoff 8
2004 Kathryn Hoff 7
27 tests in 8 years versus 43 tests in 7 years. Again, swimming did more testing.
Can I ask that you please considier 'qualifying' your statement?
In my opinion (see I qualified this), any cyclist that claims cycling is doing more similarly needs to provide proof of it. Otherwise, given the widespread nature of doping in cycling, the few number of positives, and that this is a common doper's sleight-of-hand statement, it raises my suspicions (see I qualified this) about what they are trying to hide with faulty data.
Is Cav truly a credible source?
What research has he done in this area? Less than what I have done here, I suspect. Nor would I anticipate that he would follow the requirements of proof very well. How many sports has he participated in at the elite level? Can he describe the differences in culture and procedure between at least two sports?
What is he trying to hide?
Dave.