Lanark said:
All the tough stages are after the time trial, if he wins the ITT, he'll be in the lead with 2 stages to go. At that point, you might as well just win it.
That's true, TT will probably shape GC.
But it's a very short TT - I think the gaps will be small enough and there be enough good classics/puncheurs still in the hunt and up for the stage win/GC over the next two days to mean Wiggins won't be bothered.
On current form and desire, all adds up to Kelderman for me.
Edit: I should also add that the likes of Kelderman will ride right near the front and certainly won't allow themselves to be in any peloton time splits on the sprint stages. Again, I don't think Wiggins will be bothered if he's in any split and loses some time here and there.