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First Timers in GC Top 10 - Grand Tours

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GT: First Timers in GC Top 10?

  • Bernal

    Votes: 44 65.7%

  • Buchmann

    Votes: 20 29.9%

  • Caparaz

    Votes: 20 29.9%

  • Kwiatkowski

    Votes: 4 6.0%

  • Latour

    Votes: 22 32.8%

  • Roglic

    Votes: 38 56.7%

  • Soler

    Votes: 20 29.9%

  • Teuns

    Votes: 2 3.0%

  • Vuillermoz

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Wellens

    Votes: 3 4.5%
  • Total voters
    67
A

Asero831

Jan 26, 2014
1,053
81
10,580
In the past 6 years, there had been more than five first-timers every year.
2012 gives us 11 names, last year was the lowest with only 4 debutants.
Ion Izaguirre and G. Thomas were projected to make a leap last year but were unable to do so because of crashes and injuries.
How will 2018 shape up?

2017 - (4) - Zakarin, Poels, Woods, Lopez
2016 - (7) - Yates Bros, Jungels, Dela Cruz, Formolo, Atapuma, Bennett
2015 - (8) - Chaves, Landa, Dumoulin, Meintjes, Amador, Frank, Geniez, Trofimov
2014 - (6) - Aru, Bardet, D. Martin, Barguil, D. Caruso, Kelderman
2013 - (6) - Quintana, Majka, Fuglsang, Betancur, Navarro, Niemiec
2012 - (11) - Pinot, Uran, TJVG, Henao, Rolland, Ten Dam, Konig, Talansky, de Gendt, Intxausti, Brajkovic

I can only include 10 names in the poll.
Those that did not make are as follows: Kangert, Dennis, Ulissi, Alaphilippe, Felline, Costa, etc


Those active riders who had their first Top 10 more than five years ago are:
Froome (2011)
Kruijswijk (2011)
Mollema (2011)
Nieve (2011)
Monfort (2011)
Siutsou (2011)
Porte (2010)
Roche (2010)
LL Sanchez (2010)
Nibali (2009)
Kreuziger (2009)
Deignan (2009)
Pozzovivo (2008)
Cunego (2004)
Pellizotti (2003)
Valverde (2003)
 
Pantani_lives

Pantani_lives

May 3, 2010
4,280
3,815
21,180
That's hard to predict. I voted Roglic and Soler. They certainly have the potential, but they might have to sacrifice themselves or focus on one week races or a stage win. Wellens and Teuns will probably focus on stages, Kwiatkowski will have to work.
 
Kazistuta

Kazistuta

Mar 19, 2009
2,067
486
12,580
Carapaz for the giro, Buchmann for the tour/vuelta and Bernal for the vuelta.

Agree with Pantani_lives about Roglic and Soler, they will soon top10/top5 in a GT, but not this year with seemingly other agendas.
 
A

axl

Aug 19, 2017
72
0
0
Bernal on the Vuelta, Buchmann, Latour & Roglic on the Tour.

I can't see Carapaz or Wellens doing it on this Giro, except if there is a LOT of DNF, or more probably if they manage to be on several 10+ minutes breakaways. I think Dennis has more chance than them to manage a top10 in Italy.

Kwiato, Vuillermoz and Soler will have to work too much on the Tour to expect a top10. Buchmann, Latour or Roglic could but only 1 or 2 from them depending on the circumstances. I think Rui Costa could also be in the mix.
 
Valv.Piti

Valv.Piti

Aug 3, 2015
21,967
9,363
28,180
I voted Bernal (Vuelta), Carapaz (Giro) and Roglic (Tour).

Bernal is incredible, everyone knows that, so he makes the top-10. Carapaz could make it with a little luck and some great legs. Roglic says he doesnt target the GC, but I believe in him more than I do in Steven K.

I wanted to vote Soler as well, but he isn't doing the Giro or Vuelta, so he isn't coming close this year, but will make it next year, I think. Buchmann could also top-10 in the Tour already this year, I like him very much. Latour could also easily make the top-10 i July. Dont believe in the rest.
 
Koronin

Koronin

Oct 14, 2017
12,196
3,228
23,180
I voted for Latour although no idea if he's ready or not.

For Soler without doing the Giro and the team he's with it would be virtually impossible for him to top 10 in the Tour or Vuelta as Movistar is already sending Valverde, Landa, and Quintana to both of those races. For Soler to get a top in either of those would almost mean Movistar would be putting 4 riders in the final GC top 10 and that is highly unlikely to happen. As much as I would have loved to have voted for Soler I just can't see it happening for him this year.
 
PremierAndrew

PremierAndrew

May 9, 2014
5,229
107
17,680
Re: Re:

staubsauger said:
PremierAndrew said:
It's weird to think Thomas has never top 10'd especially when you consider he was one of the top favourites for last year's Giro before the blockhaus moto got involved
Click to expand...
He certainly wasn't outside of the British tabloids for the reason you just stated yourself!
Click to expand...

He was more fancied than Dumo before the start, after Quintana Nibs and Pinot
 
staubsauger

staubsauger

Jul 27, 2009
6,463
2,321
20,680
Re: Re:

PremierAndrew said:
staubsauger said:
PremierAndrew said:
It's weird to think Thomas has never top 10'd especially when you consider he was one of the top favourites for last year's Giro before the blockhaus moto got involved
Click to expand...
He certainly wasn't outside of the British tabloids for the reason you just stated yourself!
Click to expand...

He was more fancied than Dumo before the start, after Quintana Nibs and Pinot
Click to expand...
Like I said, in the British tabloids!

Dumoulin actually already had a Vuelta top 10, while wearing the leaders jersey until the penultimate day, to his name.

Thomas hasn't even won the Tour of Switzerland like Giorgio Furlan! I'm pretty sure Furlan wasn't one of the hot favorites for the 1994 Giro d'Italia either.
 
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