- Jul 25, 2009
- 1,072
- 0
- 0
sniper said:I wasn't responding directly to your post (I just used your link to quote from it), but to Franklin's and IWCiJ's posts.
Of course, I don't disagree that the data look compelling.
I was just pointing out that one has to remain skeptical of the veracity of such studies, especially when members of the UCI medical board are involved in the data analysis.
I think that's a reasonable caveat to make.
Probably I should have said "caveat" in the first place, rather than "wake up call".
Anyway, thanks for the additional link. I'll look into it.
Think you might have missed my point slightly. "One thing it seems safe to conclude is that riders' doping practices are heavily influenced by the detection methods." In other words, the tests change, the doping changes.
Before EPO test..... high retics due to EPO use.
After EPO test....... low retics due to blood doping.
Passport introduction...... balanced retics due to a little blood plus EPO micro-dose (or overall reduction oxygen vector doping?)
Sometimes, discussions about the ineffectiveness of testing gives the impression that riders still take whatever they want, whenever they want. This is clearly not the case. I think this graph demonstrates that they change their doping practices to limit their risk of an AAF. This tells us something about the level of risk riders are prepared to accept. In turn, this tells us something about how effective anti-doping measures need to be, before they act as a strong deterrent.
If they knew retrospective tests would be carried out once new tests were available, the only way to limit their risk is to cut out the doping....and I now think they would act to limit the risk.