• The Cycling News forum is still looking to add volunteer moderators with. If you're interested in helping keep our discussions on track, send a direct message to @SHaines here on the forum, or use the Contact Us form to message the Community Team.

    In the meanwhile, please use the Report option if you see a post that doesn't fit within the forum rules.

    Thanks!

Milano—Sanremo 2025: Who will win?

Page 2 - Get up to date with the latest news, scores & standings from the Cycling News Community.

Who will be the winner of the 2025 Milano—Sanremo?


  • Total voters
    76
  • This poll will close: .
As long as the tandem MvdP and Philipsen is in this race, I see it as a very tough nut to crack for UAE and Pogi. Poggio just isn't hard enough to drop MvdP, his descending is decent but nowhere near the likes of MvdP and Pidcock, and Phliipsen is climbing better and better.

The interesting question also arise if Philipsen survives the Poggio, but with Milan and/or Kooij in their wheel. Which card would you play if you were DS of Alpecin (or Trek for that matter also being able to bet on two horses).
If Kooij is there I would still back Philipsen as Plan A but if Milan is there I would give free rein to MVDP to launch.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Keldergoat
I picked Milan. If there is one thing I know, it is that Pogacar shouldn't be the bookmakers' favourite.
I also picked Milan as he is climbing well and dominating the sprints.

Where I differ is that I do think that Pogacar is a worthy favourite because he is the only rider you can expect to feature in the final in just about every feasible scenario. I don’t expect him to win but I do see the logic in his favourite status.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Zoetemelk-fan
I also picked Milan as he is climbing well and dominating the sprints.

Where I differ is that I do think that Pogacar is a worthy favourite because he is the only rider you can expect to feature in the final in just about every feasible scenario. I don’t expect him to win but I do see the logic in his favourite status.

I think you can say the same for Van der Poel and he will beat Pogi in the sprint.

There is no reason the odds are higher on him.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Lui98
I think you can say the same for Van der Poel and he will beat Pogi in the sprint.

There is no reason the odds are higher on him.
Bookies will factor in that UAE are all in for Pog while Alpecin have 2 of the 5 best cards to play meaning more chance that MVDP sacrifices himself again.

I don’t rule out a successful Cipressa solo and the only top contender rider that would even try that is Pogacar.
 
There is no reason the odds are higher on him.
Betting odds reflect how much money is placed on riders to win. Often this isn’t rational. The more money bet the lower the odds. This is not the same as the objective winning probability.

With Pog, especially after his amazing 2024, he is simply a more popular rider who attracts more money. But that doesn’t mean he is actually more likely to win MSR than MVDP.
 
Late attack by someone not in the poll to win. If Ineos do the sensible thing and send Tarling and Sheffield too in addition to Ganna, it may even be their race to lose in that scenario, and my gut feeling is that the former will pull off a big upset.
NARRATOR: Ineos did not, in fact, do the sensible thing.

Consequently, I will switch my vote to Roger Adrià.
 
Ok so recent weather forecast says 17°C, cloudy, 6 m/s with smaller gusts, only light precipitation 1.7mm between 1pm-7pm.
I've changed my vote (once again) to Philipsen, but could be a succesful shot from Cipressa by Pogi as well. All open to me :p

According to GFS only 7-8 degrees for most of the route. Probably a few degrees warmer near the cost (due to the sea influence).
 
  • Like
Reactions: Zoetemelk-fan
I think Van der Poel should be the biggest favourite especially with the predicted weather however I have a feeling Ganna will win with an attack after the Poggio descent.
That’s pretty much Ganna’s best chance to win but if Philipsen is in the main group when Ganna attacks after the Poggio descent, he doesn’t stand a chance because MVDP will chase him down