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Milano - Sanremo 2024, one day monument, March 16

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He's ready

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I'm a big mvdp fan, but it also hurts me to cheer for someone with a mullet :sweatsmile:
 
I think Pogacar and Van Der Poel will somehow cancel each other. Pogacar will not drive like a madman, like last year, knowing that it will go into Van Der Poel's favor, and Mathieu will be a tiny percent weaker than last year and will not be able to snap the elastics totally. I think they will drag couple of others with them at the top of the Poggio, and we will get the winner among those guys.
My pick: Toms Skujins.
 
I think Pogacar and Van Der Poel will somehow cancel each other. Pogacar will not drive like a madman, like last year, knowing that it will go into Van Der Poel's favor, and Mathieu will be a tiny percent weaker than last year and will not be able to snap the elastics totally. I think they will drag couple of others with them at the top of the Poggio, and we will get the winner among those guys.
My pick: Toms Skujins.
Based on what, exactly?
 
I think Pogacar and Van Der Poel will somehow cancel each other. Pogacar will not drive like a madman, like last year, knowing that it will go into Van Der Poel's favor, and Mathieu will be a tiny percent weaker than last year and will not be able to snap the elastics totally. I think they will drag couple of others with them at the top of the Poggio, and we will get the winner among those guys.
My pick: Toms Skujins.
This is how I probably see it playing out...although, unless Pogacar tries something on the Cipressa just in case there's a few seconds of hesitation behind, what other choice does he have other than to go thermonuclear on the Poggio to try to drop everyone?

I suppose Pog could try to go from a small group early at the finish, hoping again for a bit of uncertainty, but that would probably be just a long leadout for someone else...

Not having Wout in the field will benefit Pogacar because MvdP often keys off him for attacks, I think. MvdP sometimes (often) has positioning issues so may have to make up a lot of ground on the Poggio. I have no idea what MvdP's shape is and he may not either. Last year we (myself included) thought he was a bit undercooked.

Still, Pedersen is my pick from a small group. So much drama in just 10k...
 
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Let's see then...
It has to be some heck of a performance to tops his last year's win.
I still think he would be better with some racing in his legs.
for most races I would agree, as van der Poel indeed seems to improve with a couple of racing days. In Sanremo he even finished 3rd when coming back straight from injury, though, so he probably doesn't need perfect preparation to come close to his best.