As to Lawrence:
He wasn't just the #1 overall tag. He was the most hyped player coming out of college in memory. More than Andrew Luck, more than Eli Manning, more than Peyton Manning. To me you have to go back to John Elway being drafted, over four decades ago, to reach the anticipation NFL fans and teams had of winning the Trevor Lawrence sweepstakes.
Yeah, he was hyped up big time but in terms of the "generational talent" tag, not anymore than some of the other top prospects drafted recently. IMO, I think a lot of his hype came from his physical skills more so than his actual performance at Clemson. He has elite height, elite arm talent & good speed/athleticism for such a tall athlete. He also made some "Zach Wilson" type crazy throws at his pro day that oohed & aahed the scouts.
Check out his stats at Clemson - they weren't overwhelming compared to Murray's Sr year at Oklahoma, Williams' Jr year at USC & Young's Jr at Bama. In fact, in 3 full seasons of starting, Lawrence couldn't even win the Heisman beaten out by Murray, Burrow & Devante Smith over those seasons. Lol But again, a 6'6" giant with an elite arm & athleticism shines at his pro day & teams start salivating...you know the drill.
Some other "generational talents" that were also hyped up:
GM Steve Keim said his team's QB issues, including one-and-done Josh Rosen's struggles last year, were worth it to land Kyler Murray.
www.sportingnews.com
Heisman winner. Murray was so hyped that Arizona dumped Rosen, a
1st rd, 10th OA pick that they traded the house away to get, after just ONE season in order to draft Murray #1 OA! (If that's not hype, l don't know what is?).
Alabama Football’s quarterback Bryce Young is a generational talent. Currently in his junior year of college, he has made a name for…
medium.com
Heisman winner. Saban had said Young is the best QB he's ever seen at Bama.
Caleb Williams' five losses in 2023 are often seen as data points against his transcendent ability. But to the players who got the better of him on those days, it was further proof he'll be as advertised as the next level.
sports.yahoo.com
Heisman winner. Another top prospect with an elite skillset that no team can supposedly go wrong with. Look at what Nick had to say:
View: https://youtube.com/shorts/BRfAiLpv8KA?si=MgOldKvqV7hPwGXR
(Weren't you doing backflips & cartwheels over the Williams sweepstakes much like I did over Anthony Richardson? Lol)
Lawrence is listed as
Tier 3 QB along with Murray, Young & Williams. He isn't a bust but is definitely underachieving - but no more so than Murray, IMO.
I think moving forward
any #1 OA is going to be hyped as a "generational talent" & a "can't miss prospect." The hype will continue in every draft only the names will change.