First a look at Black Monday and the coaching carousel. I'll post teams 2018 outlook, plus the draft, soon. Then on playoff thoughts.
I'm sure you have all heard by now it's almost a formality that Jon Gruden is coming back to Oakland, which explains Del Rio's quick exit. Mark Davis has known and been friends with Gruden for probably over 20 years and spoke fondly of him before. With a young franchise QB, and room to grow, and a new facility in two years, plus what appears to be a stake in minority ownership, if Gruden ever wanted to come back and give the NFL another shot, this would be it. If the Raiders are gambling, and can't lure Gruden, then canning Del Rio was a mistake for sure.
I agree that it was a mistake to let Pagano go. He took them to three 11-5 seasons (sharing one with Arians), he's a stabilizing person, and respected by his players. He missed his franchise player this year, and gets punished for it. Can you name one other (available) coach who would have taken this team to a winning season? Even a 7-9 season? I didn't think so.
Good for Arians to retire, good on him. He's going to be forever liked in Arizona. Excellent rebuilding period coming up for the Cardinals. They don't have a ton of cap room, but aren't in a tough spot either. Lots of hope for 2019 and beyond, if they can find a solid coach, and new franchise QB.
Zero surprise at Fox, and Caldwell being canned. I once heard about Caldwell that he was a very respectful man, but really would never be a top coach.
I still am not 100% convinced Hugh Jackson sticks around in Cleveland. I think if the Browns can find someone they like, that they think they can get, Hugh will be gone. His press conference was humbling, but also optimistic. So who knows. More on this later.
Dirk Koetter, Vance Joseph, and Jay Gruden both got a stamp of faith. I agree with Jay Glazer entirely, Washington's problem is not Gruden at all. It's the front office, headed up by the owner. Gruden has been making lemonade out of lemons there for a while.
As to Pete Carroll, I think what Seattle will do is look at both who they will release (Bennet for sure), who they will trade, who they will rebuild on (Wilson for sure), who they may draft, and get in FA. If they can on that in 3-5 years, Pete will stay on. If not, I can see him retiring. As Jimmy Johnson has said many times, it's a young man's game, even coaching, and rare is an older coach with the energy and stomach to tough it out.