ToreBear said:
I think TV ratings is the big thing. Also lack of Germans at the top in XC is probably something that is concerning, since they represent a big market.
Right now, most talents in Germany are gravitating to biathlon, although they don't have too many super male talents in that either (women can't exactly go to NC of course). Preuss first picked up a rifle about four years ago, Vanessa Hinz only two years ago, and the best German female skiers in recent years have been biathletes (Neuner, Gössner). Can't really throw the stunt casting that was Evi Sachenbacher-Stehle's conversion in there as she'd already achieved as far as she was going to in XC before the switch, it was more thought of by the DSV for attention given her media popularity after the retirement of Neuner. Dahlmeier and Preuss are the future of German women's biathlon, and Gössner if she can get back to health.
But while NC may have gone the way of the point of no return, I don't see a problem with experimenting to get an audience back. They've already shot themselves in the foot, now they're desperately trying things to see if something will stick. The team sprint is awful, an ugly format in both XC and NC that needs to die immediately. The penalty race is strange in some respects but good in others (the FIS justified their move in XC towards mass starts by saying - stupidly - Germans didn't understand individual starts, hopefully they don't use this if they discard the penalty race, suggesting the country with the biggest per-head-of-population audience for biathlon can't understand the concept of a penalty loop!). Longer ski distances could well be needed. Would the athletes stand up to a ski flying hill, once a year, somewhere like Vikersund or Planica? Ski fly+20k marathon NC would be an innovation I'd watch.
On the innovations in XC, it seems for the moment that the men are finally getting the hang of how to do a mass start 50k - the ones at Val di Fiemme and Holmenkollen last season were actually good, not the sprint finish tedium we have complained about so often in recent years. The combination, meh. Could be worse. I wish they'd do fewer laps of longer, tougher courses rather than several laps of a small course though. The sprints? Maybe two or three a season and we're good, but they have proliferated to the point where they dominate things. The distance globe is now worth more than the overall World Cup to me, because there are too many sprint events paying too many points, and the stage racing with huge bonuses for sprints is just way too artificial. I'm not that opposed to the idea of the Tour de Ski, I just think the execution is way off at present which dulls the value of it. Just accept sprint specialists shouldn't be competing for the GC and make the points bib worth more or bias the points bib more towards the sprints to give the athletes something else for it, if you MUST include one.
The other thing is presentation. The FIS' presentation level lags behind the IBU's, I know FIS also has Alpine to look after and that is presented very well, however the televisual appearance of it does have an impact on perception, and NC in particular feels like it's being treated as an afterthought.