It seems like Nepryayeva is called Terenteva nowadays. Shes married to Terentev I assume.
Nepryayeva and Stupak was very good and they are both still pretty young, so they should still be competitive. Nepryayeva won the World Cup fair and square in 21/22, but she wasn’t impressive at all before Christmas that year. In the 8 races before Tour de Ski she had a 5th place as her best result. Then in Tour de Ski she was solid and she was good in Beijing and Lahti, so those 2 months was very, very good. If the she comes back next year she will definitively be a contender for World Cup overall and the new point system should fit her well as she’s taking points in all kind of races, but when it comes to the Championship I would still back the Ebba and Frida (and Niskanen for the classic and Diggins for the skate) at their best above the best version of Nepryayeva.
Stupak is solid but never give me the vibes of a racer that will win big or regularly.
I think you are overselling Sedova (nowadays she’s Kuleshova) a bit. She has only one time been top 10 (9th) in the distance cup, and she hasn’t raced internationally since World Cup final in 2019.
Stepanova is hard to judge as she raced so little among the best before the Russians were banned. I wonder if she’s become better classic skier the last two years.
The Russian women’s best chance in the Championship is of course the relay, and then likely Terenteva the best option for the individual races. But to be fair I haven’t spent much time looking for results in Russia this season, so I have no idea how they have been skiing this season. For all I know Stepanova could have become a beast winning with one minute every week. I guess I’ll see when they return.
Kuleshova was out of the 19/20 season due to pregnancy and she then chose to sit out the next year as well, plus much of 2022. She said she regrets the decision to miss the Olympics. In retrospect, she would have been a strong asset, but likely would have taken a spot in the relay from either Sorina or Stepanova.
Stepanova has had big wins in skate races the last two seasons. I think she can deal with any skate race. Imo she would be challenging for the podium (at least) in skate races, especially distance. She also finished 7th in the Olympic sprint, just missing the final.
Of the current skiers, Stupak and Terenteva have individual World Cup wins, and I think they would have a few skiers challenging for wins right now. Of course we can’t be 100% sure at the at the moment.