I will be astounded if Wiggins wins the stage, or even attacks.
There isn't anything here that will drop Martin in the form he's in; though as they may be able to isolate him after losing domestiques or them getting hurt today, we have a chance to see him isolated, and if a few riders can gang up on him he may have to work his socks off; I'm just not sure I can see any of the people I feel I can rely on for an attack gaining all the time they've lost back. Maybe Klöden's the only person who may attack who is close enough to push Der Panzerwagen, but because of the support squad being weaker then quite a few riders may feel they have a chance if they go early enough.
Tondó would have been much better served sitting in today (all he achieved in the last km was leading everybody out to put a couple of seconds on him and crashing, no way was it steep enough for him, he has no sprint at all), but then without it there would have been no need for Movistar to put the hurt on, and if they hadn't put on the hurt and decimated the field then today's stage would have been much more like the tedium I expected it to be before the start; as it is now, however, the Movistar domestiques could well be pretty toasted after doing a huge amount of work (Txente García excepted, of course, he'll still manage 100km on the front if asked, as per usual), but here is where Tondó needs them most, because he could actually make a difference tomorrow.