Poll: When will the next major bicycle race happen again?

[Faserr]

There are a lot of opinions how the corona crisis will be affecting pro cycling. That's why I started this poll to see what the cycling community here is thinking about that and why.

 

[repre]

Heat and vacation period will cause people to ease up on restrictions by july

 

[Koronin]

I think May is possible, but June is more likely. With hope of a treatment possibly coming in May that should get things better by June. Also at some point we have to get to a saturation point.

 

[Nirvana]

Hard to say because the virus has to be contained everywhere to restart racing in a safe environment otherwise a new cluster could be reimported from another country even where the spread of the virus would have already been stopped.

 

[BlueRoads]

Voted July. At one point countries will have to decide whether the negative effects of isolation on economy and society are bigger than the ones that Corona brings. But the races can't be organised just like bam, so I suppose still after that it will take some time until they start again, and then it probably won't be the biggest ones but rather some one-day-races. Pure speculation.

 

[Pippo_San]

Guys don't put your hopes up. August AT BEST.
Probably September.
Forget Le Tour.

 

[Tonton]

Voted May, wishful thinking. June more likely.

 

[Joelsim]

2021 most likely. To think that this will all have cleared sufficiently in two or three months’ time is pie in the sky. Simply not a cat in hell’s chance of that happening.

 

[staubsauger]

Tour of Switzerland is 9 days only. Could be managed with strict restrictions. That would / might be the major tour of the year then, as I don't see neither the Tour de France or the Giro d’Italia running at the moment!

 

[SHAD0W93]

Tour of Switzerland is 9 days only. Could be managed with strict restrictions. That would / might be the major tour of the year then, as I don't see neither the Tour de France or the Giro d’Italia running at the moment!

Vuelta?

 

[staubsauger]

Vuelta?

Yeah, that one might be a possibility as well!

 

[LesDiablesRouges]

It will depend on how the heat affects the virus. The problem with La Vuleta is that Spain is turning into Italy part II

 

[hayneplane]

Timeline would make La Vuelta seem feasible except for the issue of Spain being one of the most significantly affected countries in the world currently, indeed all 3 grand tour hosting nations are badly struggling to contain the virus.

We might get some one day classics and possibly the Worlds but any stage race longer than 5 days could be trickier.

 

[Kaptain Kool]

I can't see a scenario in which Tour de Suisse is held but not the Tour. Extra time and warmer weather will be more important than 21 vs 9 stages.

 

[postmanhat]

I think May is possible, but June is more likely. With hope of a treatment possibly coming in May that should get things better by June. Also at some point we have to get to a saturation point.

Where did you read this?

 

[Koronin]

Where did you read this?

Gilead and one other company have treatment in clinical testing currently with the hope of good results in early may. The other company it's a malaria drug that is currently in production with Gilead it's a drug they developed for a different outbreak. The hope is if all goes perfectly the drug can get approved and to market by May. The hopeful May time frame was mentioned on CNBC the other day. This requires everything to go prefect and get everything fast tracked. They are currently using it in Washington (state).

Gilead coronavirus treatment already being used in Washington state | Fortune

According to CDC director Dr. Robert Redfield in congressional testimony.

fortune.com

Here's another article. It's experimental but appears to already be being used in other viruses that are similar to this one. Hence the reason for the hope.

Hopes rise over experimental drug's effectiveness against coronavirus

Many see remdesivir as one of few drugs that has reasonable prospect of helping patients

www.theguardian.com

Here's one more:

These 23 companies are working on coronavirus treatments or vaccines — here’s where things stand

A mix of legacy drugmakers and small startups have stepped forward with plans to develop vaccines or treatments that target the infection caused by the novel...

www.marketwatch.com

Type: Treatment

Stage: Phase 3 clinical trials

Name: remdesivir

Background: Gilead is a longtime drug maker that is best known for developing the first major cure for hepatitis-C in Sovaldi, a therapy that changed the standard of care for that disease but also kicked off the national debate about drug pricing. The company has experience developing and marketing HIV drugs, including Truvada for pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP), its preventive HIV medicine. Along with U.S. trials, Gilead is conducting a randomized, controlled clinical trial in Wuhan, testing remdesivir as a treatment for mild to moderate forms of pneumonia in people with the virus. The trial was given the go-ahead by China’s Food and Drug Administration in February.

Clinical trials:

1. On Feb. 21, the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases started enrolling patients in a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled Phase 3 trial evaluating 394 hospitalized patients with COVID-19 at up to 50 sites worldwide. The trial is expected to conclude April 1, 2023. Sites include the National Institutes of Health in Bethesda, Md., (not recruiting), the University of Nebraska Medical Center in Omaha (recruiting), the University of Texas Medical Branch in Galveston (not recruiting), and Providence Sacred Heart Medical Center in Spokane (recruiting).

2. On March 3, Gilead said a randomized, open-label Phase 3 trial will evaluate remdesivir in 600 patients with moderate COVID-19. The trial is expected to start enrolling patients in March, with results to come in May.

3. On March 3, Gilead said a randomized, open-label Phase 3 trial will evaluate remdesivir in 400 patients with severe COVID-19. The trial is expected to start enrolling patients in March, with results in May.


They are treating in the Seattle, Washington area.

 

[gregrowlerson]

Voted July. At one point countries will have to decide whether the negative effects of isolation on economy and society are bigger than the ones that Corona brings. But the races can't be organised just like bam, so I suppose still after that it will take some time until they start again, and then it probably won't be the biggest ones but rather some one-day-races. Pure speculation.

This is what it will all come down to. In the end, there is no point in living, just for the sake of it. Remember that all of our lives have a limited life span, regardless.

My prediction is that the Dauphne will be the next road race, obviously as a lead in to the TDF. I have no idea about the rescheduling of the Giro, but I don't see why it couldn't also be run in July, since not many riders were planning on riding both races anyway (and in which case we would be less likely to have high mountain stages cancelled/altered).

 

[Pippo_San]

Gilead and one other company have treatment in clinical testing currently with the hope of good results in early may. The other company it's a malaria drug that is currently in production with Gilead it's a drug they developed for a different outbreak. The hope is if all goes perfectly the drug can get approved and to market by May. The hopeful May time frame was mentioned on CNBC the other day. This requires everything to go prefect and get everything fast tracked. They are currently using it in Washington (state).

Gilead coronavirus treatment already being used in Washington state | Fortune

According to CDC director Dr. Robert Redfield in congressional testimony.

fortune.com

Here's another article. It's experimental but appears to already be being used in other viruses that are similar to this one. Hence the reason for the hope.

Hopes rise over experimental drug's effectiveness against coronavirus

Many see remdesivir as one of few drugs that has reasonable prospect of helping patients

www.theguardian.com

Here's one more:

These 23 companies are working on coronavirus treatments or vaccines — here’s where things stand

A mix of legacy drugmakers and small startups have stepped forward with plans to develop vaccines or treatments that target the infection caused by the novel...

www.marketwatch.com

Type: Treatment

Stage: Phase 3 clinical trials

Name: remdesivir

Background: Gilead is a longtime drug maker that is best known for developing the first major cure for hepatitis-C in Sovaldi, a therapy that changed the standard of care for that disease but also kicked off the national debate about drug pricing. The company has experience developing and marketing HIV drugs, including Truvada for pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP), its preventive HIV medicine. Along with U.S. trials, Gilead is conducting a randomized, controlled clinical trial in Wuhan, testing remdesivir as a treatment for mild to moderate forms of pneumonia in people with the virus. The trial was given the go-ahead by China’s Food and Drug Administration in February.

Clinical trials:

1. On Feb. 21, the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases started enrolling patients in a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled Phase 3 trial evaluating 394 hospitalized patients with COVID-19 at up to 50 sites worldwide. The trial is expected to conclude April 1, 2023. Sites include the National Institutes of Health in Bethesda, Md., (not recruiting), the University of Nebraska Medical Center in Omaha (recruiting), the University of Texas Medical Branch in Galveston (not recruiting), and Providence Sacred Heart Medical Center in Spokane (recruiting).

2. On March 3, Gilead said a randomized, open-label Phase 3 trial will evaluate remdesivir in 600 patients with moderate COVID-19. The trial is expected to start enrolling patients in March, with results to come in May.

3. On March 3, Gilead said a randomized, open-label Phase 3 trial will evaluate remdesivir in 400 patients with severe COVID-19. The trial is expected to start enrolling patients in March, with results in May.


They are treating in the Seattle, Washington area.

They are using remdesivir in Italy. Not working greatly.
They have found that there's also tocilizumab that's used for arthritis that looks promising.
Still no real cures as of now.

So, while we hope for the best, the truth is everything will be put in lockdown for quite a lot of time.

 

[Koronin]

They are using remdesivir in Italy. Not working greatly.
They have found that there's also tocilizumab that's used for arthritis that looks promising.
Still no real cures as of now.

So, while we hope for the best, the truth is everything will be put in lockdown for quite a lot of time.

Vaccines are over a year away. What they are looking for currently are treatments to help keep the moderate to severe cases from getting worse. However, the more treatments being used, the faster they'll find something that will help.

The problem with putting everything on lockdown is that people aren't working so they aren't getting paid so they have no money and thus can't pay bills or buy food. Then they have essentials like water and electric turned off and kick out of their homes and starve to death.

 

[This Charming Man]

Why can't the ture be run on track?

 

[Logic-is-your-friend]

I voted June. With a lot of the countries where the races are happening now in quasi lockdown, we should get a much better idea of where we are in 6 weeks. The virus will not be able to spread remotely as easily, the actual number of those who are infected but were not showing symptoms yet will surface and apparently there have been different Corona viruses which have all lost steam in May.

But i think May is simply too soon for organizers to get everything in order.

 

[Ranagazoo]

I voted June too. Would be great to see absolutely everyone battling it out at the tour, well rested and free of injury.

Wishful thinking perhaps but it's nice to have something to look forward too. No point waking up every morning telling myself everything's cancelled this year

 

[Son of Amsterhammer]

I could see the Tour being the next race. I really hope I"m wrong.

 

[Zinoviev Letter]

2021 unless we get very lucky.

 

[tobydawq]

2020 unless we get very unlucky.