Poll: Who will win the 2023 Tour de France?

[Nick2413]

I figured we need a poll now that the official announcement has been made that Froome won’t be contesting the 2023 Tour de France and the race should be completely up in the air.

Listed in order of odds from Oddschecker.

 

[Devil's Elbow]

It's pretty simple this Tour - Pogacar should take 20-30 more bonus seconds than Vingegaard and they should be close in the TT, so if Vingegaard properly drops Pogacar more often than the other way round, he wins, and if not, Pogacar wins. I think option A is a little likelier, especially if it's hot. Everyone else will be a distraction if they're better than expected, and an irrelevance if they aren't (barring DNFs for both of the big two).

Right now, for me that comes to approximately 55% Vingegaard, 40% Pogacar, 5% someone else. That's basically still a tossup.

 

[Tonton]

Other/Pinot.

Things have been so WTF in all of his career, maybe Jonas and Tadej get conservative and someone pulls a Carapaz on them. It could be Carapaz, or Thibaut.

 

[JosefK]

Pogi's invincible status was tweaked by last year's loss to Jonas and his more recent crash at LBL with subsequent loss of training time. This makes him a slight underdog to Jonas this year, and it probably wins him some extra fans who like to cheer for an underdog. I think Pog bounces back strongly in this year's edition. But there are several other excellent all-rounders competing, so hopefully this year's TDF will approach last year's race in levels of excitement.

 

[VayaVayaVaya]

I am hoping for Pogacar, but Vingegaard was extremely convincing last year. Never gapped for a moment and put, what, 4 minutes on Pogacar across 2 climbs? Crazy.

 

[perico]

Voted Pogacar, but only because I can’t realistically say Mas will win it.

 

[ZamlinusYoutubeious]

Gaudu or a Frenchman will get lucky and win because of some "chute" and then the French wont be able to really boast about it coz there will be an * next to the winner. It would still be a good race inspite of the "chute" and some dnf.

 

[Logic-is-your-friend]

Gaudu or a Frenchman will get lucky and win because of some "chute" and then the French wont be able to really boast about it coz there will be an * next to the winner. It would still be a good race inspite of the "chute" and some dnf.

The moment Gaudu gets in yellow i expect stages left and right to get shortened.

 

[Pantani_lives]

There has rarely been a Tour where two favorites were so far above the rest. Almost certainly one of these two will win. However it's a cycling law that highly anticipated duels never happen. So one of them will crash out, test COVID positive or have some other kind of bad luck; and the other one will win. I'll make a comparison anyway.

Vingegaard has the strongest team, had a perfect preparation, and last year he was the strongest on the long, high climbs. However I think there are only one or two climbs where he might drop Pogacar this year: the Col de la Loze and perhaps the Joux-Plane. In the middle mountains he's less likely to gain time.

Pogacar's preparation was hampered by the broken wrist. He couldn't do any climbing for six weeks. He handled the problem as well as possible by doing a lot of climbing training in the last three weeks. If he's reached top shape he has a chance to win the Tour again, because the course suits him well. Those stages in the Massif Central, the Jura and the Vosges have short, steep climbs where a master of the climbing classics has chances to attack. In Paris-Nice he looked strong and confident on comparable climbs.

Conclusion: Without bad luck or an off day in the Alps I'm giving the edge to Pogacar (but I'm not sure).

 

[Cookster15]

Voted Vingegaard. Pog’s wrist is why. Love to be proven wrong.

 

[Bolder]

Vingegaard drops Pog and the field on Loze by 2 minutes to win the Tour. (and they'll cut the descent to make it a MTF again)

 

[gerundium]

Egan Bernal will win

 

[staubsauger]

I voted David Gaudu, because I had a clown for breakfast!

 

[Ranagazoo]

Voted Pogacar, I think he's learned his lesson from last year and will ride smarter

 

[Rollthedice]

Hope for Pog. Even with a stiff wrist this man gets out of bed and attacks before breakfast. Problem is when he looks over his shoulder he'll find a skinny robot programmed by the Visma engineers to kick into overdrive at the flick of a switch.

 

[Mayomaniac]

I think Pogacar will win this time.
Biggest wildcard for the race is probably Simon Yates, no idea what to expect from him after a long break. He's either gonna fly right out of the gate or fail spectacular. We're talking about Simon Yates, so both things might happen during the same race, I can see him beating the beast on one mountain stage only to loose 20min on the next one.

 

[KZD]

Egan Bernal will win

It would be a great story but realistically I can't see him beating Vingegård and Pogačar and even third place would already be massive given the circumstances.

Anyway, I will go with Vingegård but Pogačar should be close so I hope we have a great battle in fron of us!

 

[spalco]

Pogacar easily and convincingly imo. I don't think last year was a fluke, but circumstances were unfavourable for Pogacar and he won't let this happen again.

 

[gregrowlerson]

Head vote have to go Vingegaard. Seems at least as strong as last year.

 

[The Clogger]

Vingegaard should be the strongest rider, Pogacar will try to win enough bonus seconds though.

 

[topcat]

Voted for Rasmus Tiller. I’m confident he’ll surprise people.

 

[Netserk]

Vingegaard will take less than 10 bonus seconds fewer than Pogi. Just like last year.

 

[Potomac]

I already know how to pronounce Pogacar. So that't my pick.

 

[yaco]

I think Pogacar will win this time.
Biggest wildcard for the race is probably Simon Yates, no idea what to expect from him after a long break. He's either gonna fly right out of the gate or fail spectacular. We're talking about Simon Yates, so both things might happen during the same race, I can see him beating the beast on one mountain stage only to loose 20min on the next one.

I hope that Yates can get through unscathed and do his best GC - In his last four GT's he's got COVID twice and was crashed into another time - If he rides a good GC, then he is unlikely to win a stgae.

 

[Andre]

I voted for Mas...only because I would prefer him to win over Vingo or Tadej. ..and anything is possible