benpounder said:
However with only 55sec separating third and ninth, there should be some interesting dynamics; all will want to move up which will make it much more difficult for both Quintana and Uran to mark and Movistar/OPQS to control.
Well, with only 55sec separating third and ninth, and pretty much everyone else, maybe apart from Kiserlovski, without any hope of jumping into top5 GC after a brave, long-range attack, it should be actually quite easy to Movistar/QPQS to control. Because if you're only a couple of dozens of seconds from third, you won't try anything too risky. You'll rather hope you'll be stronger than others on some MTF and make all the gain needed on several last kilometers of the last climb. And team can do little to control such attacks. Leaders need to defend themselves alone in such situations.
And with Quintana being THAT strong, having strong team and with that little gaps between 3rd and 9th, I doubt anyone will try desperate attack on a race lead, taking a risk that may compromise his podium chance.
About MTT, I'm slightly worried about Hesjedal's performance. He seems to do better following somebody's wheel. And he did quite badly on that first, hilly TT. I would be positively surprised if he ends up in the top5 on that stage.