I don’t think Sepp’s chances are as low as many give him credit for. He’ll be a minute in the lead after the TT and is at least on par with Remco and Roglic on the long climbs which will define the rest of the race. His consistency when not allowed to have any bad days is the main question mark as it’s uncharted territory so he could blow. But I think the team tactical situation is being overblown. JV will keep him in the mix and if his teammates attack to gain time on Remco or win themselves he will follow, it’s not rocket science. Pulling off the win is still unlikely, but would not be surprising.