Said all along that he probably would not do the Vuelta.
With intense Classics, prep for the Tour, Dauphine and the Tour itself...
I always thought chances for Vuelta was slim and not a good idea this season.
He can do the Tour + Vuelta combo when he takes it easier in the spring, or the Giro-Vuelta combo if he for some reason in the future wont do the Tour.
Vuelta just not a huge priority at the moment. He still has plenty of time to win it. The obsessive nature that he has to tick it off soon from some is not healthy.
We will see what happens after the Tour, if he goes or not.
Problem is, I don't see any scenario at all where he "takes it easier" in the spring, I think by now he loves the Classics more than the GTs.
So as long as he is not injured, I see him doing Flanders, Roubaix and LBL + Tour for the forseeable future because he just loves these races and UAE will want him at the Tour every year. So I don't understand at what point Vuelta becomes more attainable in terms of schedule because I don't see the pre Vuelta schedule becoming less stressful in the future. It's either a bunch of draining classics + Tour or Giro + Tour and I'm pretty sure if anything the current schedule is more suited to Vuelta than the other.
I think people are underestimating how "positive" the year went so far, he's got no major crashes, no bigger setbacks (I don't count this Tour bump and the apparent "cold", he seems totally fine) and I actually think this Tour has been easier than some in the past. With the route alteration today, there were in total "only" two really hard mountain stages, two medium hard (today and Hautacam) and basically two threshold efforts (MTT and Ventoux). That's probably as good as it gets in terms of Tour-Vuelta combination.