TDF stage 3...

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How well does MTB experience translate to riding cobblestones?

I honestly have no idea. That's why I said "question mark"... I haven't ever heard of him riding on cobbles... so while we may expect him to do okay, he's still a question mark until he actually DOES ride them.

For all we know, Contador may excel on the cobbles... but he's a question mark as well.

I think well. I also thing BMC is rather strong on that terrain. It could be a good opportunity for Evans to put some real pressure on the GC standings. His only problem is he probably shot his wad at the Giro.