How long in advance is the route announced (is next year's already out?)?
Not sure you're not being a bit harsh there - while I wouldn't suggest for a moment that they're going to be strong favourites or even win, on an easier course than this one, with better tactics on the day and riders in better form you could imagine riders such as Stannard, Thomas, Wiggins, and maybe Kennaugh conspiring together to at least be involved in the business end of the race, especially if the course allowed Cav to hold onto the peloton long enough to make other teams work to drop him.
But I agree if they persist with their grand tour approach to racing these races, unless it's pan flat, they've got no chance!