The 2014 CQ Ranking Manager Thread

[The Hitch]

Update #37: The first leaves of autumn.
The imminent arrival of the offseason begins to be felt with as quiet and uneventful week as there has been since March. The 2014 cycling season prepares for one final song, with a monument and a couple of world championship titles for its encore, so it is not over just yet. The same however cannot be said for the overall competition. Pentacycle has a lead so big, it would be internet fantasy sporting history for someone to catch him now.

On the other hand the battle for the other spots is far from over. Cycletyven, who sees his lead over 3rd place decrease slightly, remains in pole position, though at just over 100 to 3rd and 200 to 5th it is far from comfortable. Oliveria leaps above me and now takes the coveted 3rd podium spot, as does will10 who continues on the late season form shown in his truimphant stage win last week by jumping into 4th. Only 70 points however seperate us 3.

Behind us by a small margin of 200, there is a 3rd group on the road working together, all well within reach of the podium in the next few weeks, before the main peloton begins.


This Week's Top Scorers

1 Leadbelly 469
2 Zam_Olyas 434
3 Nicosix 421
4 trotters aotearoa 382
5 tanja 381

AS far as the stage goes, Leadbelly takes the glory in both catergories as both highest scorer and mover. Well done to you leadbelly, making it a succesful campaign. Tanja trotters aotearoa and Nicosix join him in enjoying success in both catergories while Zam continues his great late season form with a 2nd place on points putting him in good position I think to challenge for the monthly crown maybe in 2 weeks.

This Week's High Movers
1 Leadbelly (+13)
2 Nicosix (+11)
3 tanja (+9)
4 lenissart (+8)
5 trotters aotearoa (+7)


Top Ten Overall
1 Pentacycle 12938
2 Cykeltyven 12487
3 Oliveira 12351
4 will10 12329
5 The Hitch 12288
6 minessa 12191
7 MCardinalR 12045
8 rywann 12039
9 tomazo 11895
10 EvansIsTheBest 11847

Thanks to mcmountain for offering advice and an easy guide on how to do this.

Dropbox file -dropbox file, I think

 

[Jancouver]

Thanks for the update!

BTW for those unable to open the file, it is an OpenOffice excel file and you will need to install it: https://www.openoffice.org/download/index.html

Or here is an Excel version https://docs.google.com/file/d/0B5zZTiuPJJQSRnRXcmJNQm5SWUk/

 

[Maaaaaaaarten]

The contest can still be greatly affected by the performances of Gerrans and Kwiatkowski, who seem to be on course for great results at the world championships and the races that follow. I'm not home yet.

And thus the contest has been greatly affected. You're good at predicting this stuff, I guess that's why you're first in this game.

 

[The Hitch]

Big Changes after worlds
It was an eventful week as world championship weeks brought a lot of points to the table but not a lot of point scoring places (unlike stage races where points are more evenly distributed). As a result some people scored bucketloads while others recorded next to nothing.

The biggest profiteer is Cj2002 who scored a whopping 835 points, making him the weeks highest mover as well.
He was pushed close though as he, Grimm, DJ Sprtsch and GTF all scored higher than the week's bottom 11 scorers put together.

Also noteworthy are Leadbelly who features at the top of "highest movers" for the second week in a row making it 27 places in 2 weeks, and cq2014's early leader Gerrainttoofast who's third place and 781 bring him back into the top 10.

At the top,after dominating for pretty much the entire season, Pentacycle's lead is down to the lowest its been since I can't remember when as Cycletyven puts daylight between himself and the rest of the top 10 with a strong 430 point week and is now under 300 points behind the leader. Competition? The gap is actually, finally manageable, with a few Italian classics one big one and a stage race or 2 still to come. Pentacycle does however remain a heavy favourite. Even on this down week he still outscored 7 of the 9 names that made up last week's top 10.

This Week's Top Scorers
1 cj2002 835
2 Grimm 799
3 DJ Sprtsch 790
4 Geraint Too Fast 781
5 petaldo 733


This Week's High Movers
1 cj2002 17
2 petaldo 14
2 Leadbelly 14
2 yoyokt 14
5 Crevaison 13



Top Ten Overall
1 Pentacycle 13226
2 Cykeltyven 12948
3 will10 12581
4 Oliveira 12539
5 rywann 12514
6 The Hitch 12504
7 minessa 12384
8 Ruudz0r 12305
9 Geraint Too Fast 12275
10 freshman 12263

Dropbox, I think

 

[DJ Sprtsch]

Yes! Top50 now, and a mention = whoppeee-wup.

 

[Geraint Too Fast]

Gerrans racing style might be boring to watch, but it's great for CQ points.

I wasn't expecting to get back into the top 10 this year, but I know I wont be there at the end because bloody Contador is doing the Tour of Beijing.

 

[Tigerion]

OMG PROFITTTTTTTT!!!!!!

My team has been horrible this year but at least I managed a profit. Knew it was going to be a bad squad due to the rush to get it in but this is ridiculous

 

[Ruudz0r]

Havent seen the standings in a few months as I cannot open the file, expected to be somewhere around 30th and all of a sudden I see myself in the top 10

 

[skidmark]

Well, it's the last kicks at the can here. After two good weeks and a high of 20th, an abysmal worlds dropped me to 26th. Let's see if I can pull my way back into a top 20 by season's end.

Lombardia

Aru
Battaglin
LL Sanchez
Formolo
Moser
Hesjedal
Vanendert
Chaves
Craddock
Olivier
Contador

That's a good chunk of riders, but will they get a good chunk of results? Honsetly, my best bets are likely Contador and Aru, but Contador never excels at one-days and I still have questions about the distance for Aru (although he was fine at the less mountainous worlds and has been at a high level in 2 GTs so he can go deep). Hesjedal can handle himself here, but 15th place in Milano-Torino is hardly inspiring.

Other than that, Vanendert can do something on this distance but I don't think he has the form, Battaglin and Sanchez are constant disappointments, I won't even talk about Moser, and the others are neo-pros. So, lots of names, but I don't realistically expect more than 5 points for finishing for many of them, if that.

 

[Netserk]

Already looking ahead for next year's game

To pick or not to pick old Fränk Schleck? Rather him than Andy :O

 

[skidmark]

Already looking ahead for next year's game

To pick or not to pick old Fränk Schleck? Rather him than Andy :O

Yeah, there are going to be a few riders who are going to be interesting question marks. I can think of a couple who are obvious picks (like, I dunno, rhymes with 'kitschy snort' and 'shark slavondish'), but there are guys like Phinney and Henao, who are great but can they come back early enough and well enough from injury to have a good season, and like Goss and Moser and EBH who were somehow even worse than their disappointing seasons last year, which could mean they're in for a big rebound or it could mean that's their new trajectory. (and then there's Andy, who I hope everyone has given up on because you should). Or someone like Froome who could in theory get back to his insane year-long 2013 level, or maybe have a break even as a more realistic goal. And then neo-pros, second years who could get better... should be an interesting offseason of formulating a team.

 

[Netserk]

Will be interesting to see how many will pick Quintana (again). I'm not sure I will pick him, even though he is (a little) cheaper than a year ago. Imo the real joker is Fatancur. Could do like EBH this year, or get his act together and at least double up.

 

[LaFlorecita]

suggestion by Just some guy on Velorooms



Ok so I have started looking at 2015, between projects.

I have wondered if the points need to be looked at

7500 has been the mark, but that was for an average team, say 9th WT, now the 9th team is at about 8500 , 7400ish is FDJ at 14th spot.

I suggest 8500 for 2015.

1 cause I think maybe it might be good to look at the scores every say 5 years

2 cause it might make my strategy easier

http://velorooms.com/index.php?topic=4893.msg174751#msg174751

 

[Netserk]

I prefer 7500 as it is.

 

[The Hitch]

Update 39 The End

Ok, as last year showed things can still change in the final few months of the season, with 1 wt race and a bunch of smaller ones to go. But really, that is only true for tightly contested spots. The GTS have all finished, the worlds have all finished, the monuments have all finished, the WT has pretty much finished and all the big scoring races are over. Pentacycle with over a 300 point lead is very safe as this year's champion, and with an even greater lead over 3rd, Cykleteven even more safe in his podium spot.

Unfortunately I cannot say the same for myself sitting in the very volotile 3rd spot that has changed every week. Less than 100 points seperate me Will, Oliveria, Minessa and rywann in a 5 way battle royal for the final podium which will take the place of last years battle for first.

In the weekly rankings, vladimir continues a very high scoring finale to the season with another stage win, and by quite some margin. A greater margin seperates vladimir and 2nd place Nicosix than covers the entire next 50 scorers for the week.

Consolation though for Nicosix comes in the high movers list, which he tops with 11.

This Week's Top Scorers1 vladimir 651
2 Nicosix 478
3 Jakob747 456
4 Londonpat 456
5 the_fool_on_the_hill 440


This Week's High Movers
1 Nicosix (+11)
2 the_fool_on_the_hill (+10)
3 Londonpat (+9)
4 TeoSheva (+8)
5 Jakob747 (+7)


Top Ten Overall
1 Pentacycle 13625
2 Cykeltyven 13290
3 The Hitch 12911
4 will10 12853
5 Oliveira 12819
6 minessa 12816
7 rywann 12813
8 Ruudz0r 12639
9 Kazistuta 12519
10 freshman 12475

Month

With the worlds, Vuelta and Lombardia I think this was the highest scoring month. No surprise then to see the 2nd and 4th place overall feature, as well as a former winner. Rywann wins the month while vladimir amazingly follows up 1st place last month with 2nd this. Interestingly none of the top scorers feature in the top movers list, won by knallertjeblaf, testament of all of them having high positions to begin with.

This month's top scorers
1 rywann 3125
2 vladimir 3119
3 will10 3075
4 skidmark 3046
5 Cykeltyven 2994


This month's high jumpers
1 knallertjeblaf (+45)
2 greenedge (+44)
3 Blues in the bottle (+32)
4 wizard_of_oz (+31)
5 GP Blanco (+28)

Congrats to all

Dropbox

 

[gustienordic]

The battle for top ten is heating up: I'd say everyone down to 17th (Hugo) have a shot at coming in the top 10 depending on how things go!!

I'm hoping to move up two places: I've never finished in the top ten before

 

[LaFlorecita]

After his win today Styby is now 1 point into profit

 

[The Hitch]

This year I'm aiming to finish inside the top 100, after my horrible 2013.

lol.

10 characters

 

[vladimir]

In the weekly rankings, vladimir continues a very high scoring finale to the season with another stage win, and by quite some margin. A greater margin seperates vladimir and 2nd place Nicosix than covers the entire next 50 scorers for the week.

Damn, I thought I had a decent week, but never expected to be the best team and even with a margin Great two last months for me, shame with the abysmal start. But at least I have managed to crawl into top 20 after being ouside the top 100 for most of the spring.
Need a better start next year

And now starts the time of year where the main focus is for your favourite riders not to do well so they destroy their value in the game for next year

 

[Hugo Koblet]

Only a hundred points off top 10. I hope I'll get there but it's gonna be tough.

Having had the first look at next year's edition, I think it's gonna be very interesting as there aren't that many clear cut bargains, yet there are still some tempting but risky expensive riders. I think it's gonna be a very challenging edition.

 

[del1962]

Only a hundred points off top 10. I hope I'll get there but it's gonna be tough.

Having had the first look at next year's edition, I think it's gonna be very interesting as there aren't that many clear cut bargains, yet there are still some tempting but risky expensive riders. I think it's gonna be a very challenging edition.

Who other than Boonen would you say where clear cut bargains this year?

Any of : Kwiatkowski, Contador, Gerrans, Chaves, Swift?
Others?

 

[LaFlorecita]

Who other than Boonen would you say where clear cut bargains this year?

Any of : Kwiatkowski, Contador, Gerrans, Chaves, Swift?
Others?

Wellens & Rabottini

 

[vladimir]

Who other than Boonen would you say where clear cut bargains this year?

Any of : Kwiatkowski, Contador, Gerrans, Chaves, Swift?
Others?

Based on popularity I would say A Schleck, Goss and Moser
I hindsight awful picks, and I am ashamed to admit that I picked all three
Aru on the other hand must have been considered a bargain at a cost of 262 but still almost half of the teams missed him!

 

[greenedge]

44 places over the last month

If only I'd got that early first place at the start of the year, but still a good year with one notable weekly victories (I think) and high mover twice (I think).
Thanks for all the updates.

 

[Pentacycle]

lol.

10 characters

Goal achieved