The Cycling Betting Thread

[Badeend]

Odds available on bet365!

How fit will Armstrong be? I cant imagine he trained like a real pro this winter just for this race. But the results of Bobridge in the last 2 years at TDU arent good either. 97th in 2010, 65th in 2009
Lance Armstrong 2.00 vs Jack Bobridge 1.71

 

[Badeend]

On Sportingbet Greipel vs Goss 1.85 each

2010: Greipel 1 - Goss 73
2009: Goss 52
2008: Greipel 1 - Goss 97
2007: Goss 32
2006: Goss 50

I see value on Greipel ...

 

[Badeend]

Bet taken on Greipel. On Sportingbet Goss even has become the favorite to win TDU . In the Lotto team everything is about Greipel, he won TDU twice. Goss is just one of the fast men at HTC, he'll definitely has to work for Cavendish. Today he was 'lucky' with that crash, otherwise it will be all for Cav.

 

[gizzajob]

How fit will Armstrong be? I cant imagine he trained like a real pro this winter just for this race. But the results of Bobridge in the last 2 years at TDU arent good either. 97th in 2010, 65th in 2009
Lance Armstrong 2.00 vs Jack Bobridge 1.71

LA's tweets have been about his charity work so not sure his mind is on racing this race, whereas Jack Bobridge is in great form and has top-10 aspirations:

http://eastern-courier-messenger.whereilive.com.au/news/story/tour-down-under-2011-jacks-home-ground-advantage/

I have just taken Bobridge in this matchup at 2.00 but now has moved to 1.83. Still seems good value.

 

[Badeend]

LA's tweets have been about his charity work so not sure his mind is on racing this race, whereas Jack Bobridge is in great form and has top-10 aspirations:

http://eastern-courier-messenger.whereilive.com.au/news/story/tour-down-under-2011-jacks-home-ground-advantage/

I have just taken Bobridge in this matchup at 2.00 but now has moved to 1.83. Still seems good value.

At what bookie was that? At bet365 it was 1.71 and now 1.66, too low.

 

[Ferminal]

I've taken equal units on:

Cavendish @ 11
Davis @ 11
Rojas @ 15

All with Bet365, I'll wait for 1-2 stages and hopefully Goss drifts at which point I'll look to back him.

Also small bets on:

C. Meyer @ 41
Bobridge @ 51
Ballan @ 101 (Centrebet)

Unlike a lot of the internationals, Meyer and Bobridge are in top form at this time of the season. If Farrar struggles they will get a license to have a go and might just get lucky. Ballan may be out to prove something (and Stage 3 is an ideal finish for him).

Not keen on any stage H2H bets, need to take a look first, see who is leader, see if anyone is way out of form. Small bet on Cav @ 3 simply because it's awesome odds compared to the end of last season

 

[Timmy-loves-Rabo]

felliu @ 51 for the win ($10)

stage 1;
brown @ 51 ($10)
Ciolek @ 41 ($5)
felliu @ 81 ($5)

realize these have little chance, but what the hell

 

[Badeend]

felliu @ 51 for the win ($10)

stage 1;
brown @ 51 ($10)
Ciolek @ 41 ($5)
felliu @ 81 ($5)

realize these have little chance, but what the hell

If you want to get rid of your money i can always give you my paypal

 

[jens_attacks]

greipel-5.00
goss-6.00 for stage one on sportingbet.

from the head to head on bet365 for tomorrow's stage i have:

Graeme Brown 2.10 Francesco Chicchi 1.66 picked chicchi
Allan Davis 2.20 Robbie McEwen 1.61 picked mcewen
Denis Galimzyanov 2.10 Aleksandr Kristoff 1.66 picked galimzyanov
Romain Feillu 2.50 Jose Joaquin Rojas Gil 1.50 picked rojas gil

 

[cyclingfanatik]

No odds up at pinny yet and since I cant bet anymore at bet$3.65 I don't have any good stuff other than Goss top 3 at 2.0 or better. Good luck!

 

[Badeend]

No odds up at pinny yet and since I cant bet anymore at bet$3.65 I don't have any good stuff other than Goss top 3 at 2.0 or better. Good luck!

Last year there was no TDU or Qatar at pinnacle, will be the same this year i suppose.

 

[Hugo Koblet]

I have:

Vivani > Vigano @ 1.63
McEwen > Davis @ 1.60
Greipel > Farrar @ 1.52
Chicchi > Feillu @ 1.50

For tomorrow. Just want to have some excitement

 

[Connor Pass]

I've gone for Chicchi over Brown too.
Got 1.8 with Centrebet earlier - now out to 2.0! Maybe I should bet again!!

 

[Ferminal]

greipel-5.00
goss-6.00 for stage one on sportingbet.

from the head to head on bet365 for tomorrow's stage i have:

Graeme Brown 2.10 Francesco Chicchi 1.66 picked chicchi
Allan Davis 2.20 Robbie McEwen 1.61 picked mcewen
Denis Galimzyanov 2.10 Aleksandr Kristoff 1.66 picked galimzyanov
Romain Feillu 2.50 Jose Joaquin Rojas Gil 1.50 picked rojas gil

I like all of those, especially Galimzyanov.

 

[jens_attacks]

greipel-5.00
goss-6.00 for stage one on sportingbet.

from the head to head on bet365 for tomorrow's stage i have:

Graeme Brown 2.10 Francesco Chicchi 1.66 picked chicchi
Allan Davis 2.20 Robbie McEwen 1.61 picked mcewen
Denis Galimzyanov 2.10 Aleksandr Kristoff 1.66 picked galimzyanov
Romain Feillu 2.50 Jose Joaquin Rojas Gil 1.50 picked rojas gil

first day is usually the worst day.it wasn't a disaster but also nothing good.viviani is on form,chcicchi definitely not.

 

[auscyclefan94]

I like all of those, especially Galimzyanov.

That's very provocative.

 

[Ferminal]

I'm looking at:

Galimzyanov over Cooke 1.83
Rojas over Feillu 1.83
Ventoso over Sabatini 1.83 (battle of the leadout men...)
Kristoff over Vigano 1.71 (just for ACF)

 

[Connor Pass]

I've gone for Viviani over Sutton at 2.05 with Centrebet.

Sky have the Greg Henderson card to play too but Viviani looks to be on pretty decent form.

Galimzyanov over Cooke is 2.0 with Paddy Power if you want bigger winnings Ferminal!

 

[jens_attacks]

here we go...

stage 2:
Tyler Farrar 2.20 Robbie McEwen 1.61 picked mcewen(bet365)
Allan Davis 2.00 v Tyler Farrar 1.714 picked allan davis(sportingbet)

if tyler will decide to go for the win,i'm screwed.

 

[Badeend]

Odds on pina!!!

 

[Connor Pass]

Odds on pina!!!

You beat me too it!

McEwen at 1.66 over Farrar is slightly tempting.

Cooke over Galimzyanov at 2.21 - but could depend on the Haedos.

 

[Ferminal]

eh, Galimzyanov has come into 1.76 so I think I will stay away from that one.

Feillu over Cooke @ 1.80 is much better.

Goss v Greipel... Goss is 2.10 at 365 or centrebet and Greipel is 2.00 at sportingbet au. 5% profit if Goss wins

 

[Ferminal]

Feillu over Cooke - Win
Rojas over Feillu - Loss
Goss over Greipel - Win (bit lucky here)

Nice work on Farrar there Jensy, sounds like Garmin were going for it before they crashed, but a win is a win!

Think I might stay away from Rojas for the rest of the race if he really did jump with over a k to go.

 

[Connor Pass]

Hard to judge with the unreliable profiles but I've gone for a small bet on Vorganov over Vigano at 2.2 (Unibet & Pin)

Also taken Ballan for top 3 - everyone seems to think he's going to make a go for it!

 

[Ferminal]

Mori over Gorka Izagirre 1.65
Matthews over Ventoso 1.65
Davis over Roelandts 1.50

Ventoso and Roelandts should be burying themselves for their leaders rather than going for glory. This finish is the best of the week for Davis and Matthews.