Stage 4 finale is very similar to stage 2 so he should be #1 favourite. Maybe Pogacar will try to put the hammer down on the last wall but MVP can still overcome a small gap moments later methinks.
Stage 6 has a steep finish, which favours Pogacar more.
Stage 7 could go both ways. If MVP survives Pog's likely acceleration in the steepest part then it will be easier for him at the end.
I think yesterday it was mainly too far from the finish for Pogacar to try solo, I'm not convinced Van Poel can hold on if Pogacar goes himself.
Stage 4 that final hill is basically about as hard as yesterday's toughest hill but it's closer to the finish. I don't think it'll be Jorgenson tempo this time. Think it's more likely Pog tries to go solo, and if Vingegaard can follow I expect he'll cooperate.
Stage 6 I agree, but it's also shorter, so in a way it should almost be more like a Giro Vicenza style uphill sprint where Van Aert and Pedersen deleted the GC contenders. I do think it's a little harder more technical though
Stage 7, Mur de Bretagne I think is just too easy for Pogacar to drop Van der Poel especially as I think it's unlikely Pogacar attacks from the steep section anyway because he will be more worried about not getting countered by Vingegaard.