Teams & Riders The Remco Evenepoel is the next Eddy Merckx thread

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If he had a full on immune response like you described (sorry you deal with that every year) he would have been in the grupetto. Based on what we saw and heard, he was dealing with upper reparatory congestion, which in an oxygen sport is tough.
I think I agree with that. He would most likely be worse. But severity and onset vary from year to year and season to season. The pattern is erratic as weather and geographical location play a huge role. In a spring with loads of rain the onset is more gradual. Conversely plenty of sun, heat and wind will lead to a quick peak. I was in south of France 2 weeks ago and my symptoms were 10x worse. Back in Netherlands they are less. Only constant is time of year. I.e. now, in Europe. For Remco he might do okay 1 year and be worse the next year. There is treatment but most of it is management of symptoms and some treatments have undesirable side effects such as feeling lethargic. Then there is immunotherapy which addresses the cause. It's aimed at desensitising the immune system. It's a 3-5 year therapy of daily treatment. Quite a chore but with good results. I myself am doing that now for my 1st year and have noticed the sharp edges removed. Still need to wait it out and see if in a few years I will be symptom-free. I feel my competitive racing is really hampered by allergies. I just cannot sustain the watts. I hope Remco finds a way to beat it. For grand tour racing to be interesting we need several contenders.
 
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That his floor is higher was in regards to him being an all-rounder who can win races against a good field when he is not close to peak shape let alone weight. Like coming back from injury and beating Van Aert in a sprint. Or going to Figuera looking like a ball of lard and soloing to the finish after placing one attack. I wasn't talking about him as a climber. There it is very much the opposite.

His ceiling being higher (as a climber) is just a feeling based on comparisons also with other riders, not per se only on head to head.

Comparisons to Rog are getting increasingly difficult because Rog is... aging. I mean there will be a point where it's just impossible to say Evenepoel is better because he'll evidently be better. It's normal in sport. Just like Djokovic is not who he used to be.

But if we're talking Rog 2019-2024, then sure he's a better climber than Evenepoel simply because he was way more consistent at it (& had better GC results in stage races) and doesn't need that massive peak that Evenepoel seems to require. I mean that's my takeaway regarding Remco Evenepoel, i.e. his 2024 TdF was strong in terms of climbing (relative to everyone not called Pog or Vinge) but the rest of the year? Nah. Just my impression but he seems to be getting worse outside his peak for whatever reason.

Catalunya 2023 (again, not peak Evenepoel but still very, very strong) seems like a long time ago. Back then he could totally hold his own and if that Evenepoel was in this Dauphiné, he'd have been far closer to the two in front (& on the podium).
 
Comparisons to Rog are getting increasingly difficult because Rog is... aging. I mean there will be a point where it's just impossible to say Evenepoel is better because he'll evidently be better. It's normal in sport. Just like Djokovic is not who he used to be.

But if we're talking Rog 2019-2024, then sure he's a better climber than Evenepoel simply because he was way more consistent at it (& had better GC results in stage races) and doesn't need that massive peak that Evenepoel seems to require. I mean that's my takeaway regarding Remco Evenepoel, i.e. his 2024 TdF was strong in terms of climbing (relative to everyone not called Pog or Vinge) but the rest of the year? Nah. Just my impression but he seems to be getting worse outside his peak for whatever reason.

Catalunya 2023 (again, not peak Evenepoel but still very, very strong) seems like a long time ago. Back then he could totally hold his own and if that Evenepoel was in this Dauphiné, he'd have been far closer to the two in front (& on the podium).
Speaking of Catalunya 2024, Roglic came back from shoulder surgery, won Tirreno Adriatics with hairy legs, then beat Remco in Catalunya, then won the Giro, then should have won the Vuelta if not for team dynamics. To me, that says high floor, high (but not highest) ceiling. Remco that year had 0 GC results all year. Covid got in the way for sure, but he’s a natural TT and classic guy; Roglic is a natural GC guy. Which is somewhat to say Roglic is more of a natural climber than Remco. It’s honestly shocking that Remco can reach the heights he can based on his year round form. He’s more like a much better Wiggins type IMO.
 
Speaking of Catalunya 2024, Roglic came back from shoulder surgery, won Tirreno Adriatics with hairy legs, then beat Remco in Catalunya, then won the Giro, then should have won the Vuelta if not for team dynamics. To me, that says high floor, high (but not highest) ceiling. Remco that year had 0 GC results all year. Covid got in the way for sure, but he’s a natural TT and classic guy; Roglic is a natural GC guy. Which is somewhat to say Roglic is more of a natural climber than Remco. It’s honestly shocking that Remco can reach the heights he can based on his year round form. He’s more like a much better Wiggins type IMO.

@VayaVayaVaya @Rackham Yeah, Rogla is one of the most efficient stage racers, his number of victories over the last 4-5 years is second only to Pog (some won in poor form). His base level in stage racing is much higher than Evenepoels, who hardly ever wins stage races vs good competition.

As for the peak IMO its close and I cant definitely decide on that. But overall its advantage Rogla ofc.
 
But if we're talking Rog 2019-2024, then sure he's a better climber than Evenepoel simply because he was way more consistent at it (& had better GC results in stage races) and doesn't need that massive peak that Evenepoel seems to require. I mean that's my takeaway regarding Remco Evenepoel, i.e. his 2024 TdF was strong in terms of climbing (relative to everyone not called Pog or Vinge) but the rest of the year? Nah. Just my impression but he seems to be getting worse outside his peak for whatever reason.

Catalunya 2023 (again, not peak Evenepoel but still very, very strong) seems like a long time ago. Back then he could totally hold his own and if that Evenepoel was in this Dauphiné, he'd have been far closer to the two in front (& on the podium).
It's very hard to argue against Roglic being a more consistent climber, lol. Evenepoel simply has a high ceiling, which was my point, but he so rarely hits it because of injuries/rehab, crashes (during the race), sickness (covid, pollen, whatever) and lastly and most frequently, his weight.

As to your impression of it getting worse... i don't know. I remember back in his first season Lefevere already came out with a statement that for some reason drew a lot of heat, that Remco was disappointed with his results and Lefevere said that wasn't a surprise when weighing 4kg over his ideal race weight. This was in spring 2019 i believe, somewhere around his first UAE Tour where he got dropped or when he did Tour of Turkey and wasn't able to ride away on Kartepe from a best rotating chase group in the history of cycling, got caught and finished 4th. Then 2020 came along, he was very lean, kicked Landa, Kuss, Carapaz, Yates'... asses on Picon Blanco. The crash, the comeback, the retarted idea that his '21 Giro didn't go as planned due his weight being too low (an idea which set him back 3 years before they started to realise that had nothing to do with it). With 2022 coming around he started the season looking like Eric Cartman, getting lapped in Tirreno. Gradually slimmed down to somewhere around his 2020 weight, before slamming everybody uphill in San Sebastian and dominating the Vuelta until... his crash.

Still they did not realise that his weight was a big factor, so next year he started prepping for the Giro again, looking like Eric Cartman once more. In Catalunya he was again far from lean when he was rivaling Roglic, and i am not convinced that rendition of Evenepoel would have finished much closer this weekend. Then the Vuelta was a back up plan, he went there again with the misguided idea that he needed to be at "TT weight" for the WCC TT, so again in the Vuelta he completely failed in the mountains.

He keeps winning TT's even the rare times he is slim, and i'm sure by the time he retires someone at Quickstep will have figured it out, that he will win TT's regardless of his weight, but he will not win in the mountains regardless of his weight.

Speaking of Catalunya 2024, Roglic came back from shoulder surgery, won Tirreno Adriatics with hairy legs, then beat Remco in Catalunya, then won the Giro, then should have won the Vuelta if not for team dynamics. To me, that says high floor, high (but not highest) ceiling. Remco that year had 0 GC results all year. Covid got in the way for sure, but he’s a natural TT and classic guy; Roglic is a natural GC guy. Which is somewhat to say Roglic is more of a natural climber than Remco. It’s honestly shocking that Remco can reach the heights he can based on his year round form. He’s more like a much better Wiggins type IMO.

Since his junior years i have been comparing him to the likes of Wiggins, Cancellara, Indurain... with the major difference that he is pocket sized, and that when he would manage his weight, he would be flying uphill. And he has proven that he can fly up hill when he manages his weight. But for some reason at QuickStep they are still not making that connection. Or at least they have needed 6 years to start connecting the dots.

And the discussion was about Catalunya '23. Where again, he was far too heavy. The idea was that he should be heavier for the Giro, than for the Vuelta he had just won while skinny, because the Giro didn't have these short steep climbs like the Vuelta :tearsofjoy::tearsofjoy::tearsofjoy:
 
Speaking of Catalunya 2024, Roglic came back from shoulder surgery, won Tirreno Adriatics with hairy legs, then beat Remco in Catalunya, then won the Giro, then should have won the Vuelta if not for team dynamics. To me, that says high floor, high (but not highest) ceiling. Remco that year had 0 GC results all year. Covid got in the way for sure, but he’s a natural TT and classic guy; Roglic is a natural GC guy. Which is somewhat to say Roglic is more of a natural climber than Remco. It’s honestly shocking that Remco can reach the heights he can based on his year round form. He’s more like a much better Wiggins type IMO.
Much has been said about Roglic's tactics as being either neutral or "wheel sucking". Realistically he knows his limits and appears better at not completely going Red in efforts. Remco hasn't had enough high mountain exposure with competitive pressure to be comfortable. This Dauphine he got a better grasp and looked like he went into training mode for the Tour instead of flogging himself. Can be depressing for fans but I think that he may be on to better pacing skills doing that. Hope if builds for this Tour or next.
 
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He arrived at the wrong moment.
Well, so far this "wrong moment" has cost him what? Lombardia 24? That's about it. WC 24, without Pogacar that would have been ridden so differently, it's impossible to say who would have won, but yes, Remco with chances. But for the most part this 'wrong moment', the Pogacar era, simply hasn't cost him much. Add Vingegaard? Even then it just cost him 1 tour... But if we start "eliminating" riders, that works for every era.
 
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Well, so far this "wrong moment" has cost him what? Lombardia 24? That's about it. WC 24, without Pogacar that would have been ridden so differently, it's impossible to say who would have won, but yes, Remco with chances. But for the most part this 'wrong moment', the Pogacar era, simply hasn't cost him much. Add Vingegaard? Even then it just cost him 1 tour... But if we start "eliminating" riders, that works for every era.

Remco imitating Koko B. Ware is what cost him the worlds last year
 
RE has already had an amazing career at 25 years old, and he still has at least five more years to add to his palmares. That being said, I do wonder if he/his team (not Patti Laflave) will pivot away from GTs at some point? If I was him, I'd give it a few more cracks just because he hasn't really had great prep yet.
 
The Tour...which is now looking improbable. Don't get me wrong, because ever since the Belgian wunderkinder hit the thanks, it brought me back to the 80s, when TT prowess, excellent climbing and a penchant for monuments brought us back to pre-specislization, to a more "free cycling", when champions were all-rounders, but it wasn't the moment evidently with this monster. Who is simply better.

Do you mean You-Know-Who?
 
Well, so far this "wrong moment" has cost him what? Lombardia 24? That's about it. WC 24, without Pogacar that would have been ridden so differently, it's impossible to say who would have won, but yes, Remco with chances. But for the most part this 'wrong moment', the Pogacar era, simply hasn't cost him much. Add Vingegaard? Even then it just cost him 1 tour... But if we start "eliminating" riders, that works for every era.
The Tour...which is now looking improbable. Don't get me wrong, because ever since the Belgian wunderkinder hit the ranks, it brought me back to the 80s, when TT prowess, excellent climbing and a penchant for monuments brought us back to pre-specislization, to a more "free cycling", when champions were all-rounders, but it wasn't the moment evidently with this monster. Who is simply better.
 
triple face palm

Horner just said Remco's problem may be he is too thin

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3Ey_wkzQDsA
I didn't hear what Horner said about that yet, but as I've said several times, RE can't gain and drop 10 pounds several times per season and be a successful GT racer.

EDIT: Its important to listen to how Horner describes 'too thin' instead of plucking it out as a stand alone statement.
 
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I didn't hear what Horner said about that yet, but as I've said several times, RE can't gain and drop 10 pounds several times per season and be a successful GT racer.

EDIT: Its important to listen to how Horner describes 'too thin' instead of plucking it out as a stand alone statement.
That’s why he’s gradually losing that weight throughout the season towards TDF