Tour de France 2011 Stage 9: Issoire - Saint-Flour 208 km

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Gingerale

Jun 16, 2011
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spent the whole day obsessing about TdF and tejay is in dots. i'm setting my alarm to watch a live stream.

thor keeps yellow.
gilbert = green
gesink = white
tejay = fights for polka dot jersey (hoogerland and tj in break)

breakaway = sky rider (uran) wins stage or a french team rider.

GC guys attack each other. vino, gilbert, samu and others try to get away but are pulled back :D
 
Z

Zinoviev Letter

Aug 18, 2010
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craig1985 said:
I want a break to win but what odds that Garmin and HTC will chase the break down for a sprint?
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I don't think that HTC will anyway. They don't have anyone who can win with that final km.
 
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2wheels

Mar 17, 2009
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Leopard should see if Monfort could get away in a break, and let him make a serious bid for KOM in the Tour. He has the form I think, and the French public would love it-- good PR for the team. Plus it's always good to have a climber up the road ahead of your GC guys for support.
 
Andre.J

Andre.J

Jun 16, 2009
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2wheels said:
Leopard should see if Monfort could get away in a break, and let him make a serious bid for KOM in the Tour. He has the form I think, and the French public would love it-- good PR for the team. Plus it's always good to have a climber up the road ahead of your GC guys for support.
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Monfort is Belgian, not French. Plus he's too dangerous too let get away too far.
 
bicing

bicing

Nov 23, 2009
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Alexandre-Vinokourov-cele-006.jpg


Vinokourov
 
Maxiton

Maxiton

May 14, 2010
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zapata said:
He might be dropped without anyone intentionally trying to drop him, though. I'm very surprised at his tenacity this far, and I NEVER thought he'd still be in yellow today, but he must tire sooner or later. If he's still there tomorrow. he might as well win the stage..
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I think after today the eight climbs will be too much for Hushovd and he'll be out of yellow. Of course, I thought he'd be out of it today, too, so who knows?

I think I agree with those who've said we won't see much of a shakeup. Vino will probably take another crack at it, being Vino and all. Evans will probably have to don yellow, even if he'd prefer not to yet. Should be an exciting stage.
 
S

Sasquatch

Sep 16, 2009
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mr. tibbs said:
Moncoutie in the break, anyone? This'd be a good opportunity to tie up some KoM points.
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He will leave it till Thursday. Thursday he'll rack up the points and win the stage.

Two years ago, Brice Feillu won the first mountain stage from a break. Moncoutie knows the best chance for him to win a stage and collect points is Thursday's stage. If he has 5 minutes at the bottom of the climb from the break, he will hold on to win the stage IMO.
 
auscyclefan94

auscyclefan94

Jun 16, 2009
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kjetilraknerud said:
I'd agree if they climbs came 50 kms later. Of course BMC could try to drop him 50 kms from the finish, but they won't. Why should they? I think he'll be fine.
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Well after the tatics yesterday, who knows what they will do? If Garmin say to them that they should start chasing then they shouldn't after yesterday.
 
Kwibus

Kwibus

May 25, 2010
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Fight.The.Power said:
With regard to Rabo and Gesink. The team would be crazy to start discounting Gesink now. He could come into form later on and be awesome. This is a three week race and we have seen riders that are written off in the the first week come back and win before haven't we??
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They shouldn't discount Gesink, but they should allow 1 or 2 riders to attack. If Gesink doesn't recover they will have an epic failure of a TdF if they don't let any of their riders of the leash.
 
Woody22

Woody22

May 23, 2010
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Evans to take yellow tonight. The last 1.6km climb will see him get the seconds he needs over Thor. Then again, I thought the same on Satge 4 and Stage 8 so what do I know?
 
T

The Barb

Apr 14, 2009
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Sasquatch said:
He will leave it till Thursday. Thursday he'll rack up the points and win the stage.
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I was thinking exactly the same thing. I would also add that (I think) Thursday is Bastille Day and he (Moncoutie) has won on Bastille Day before.
 
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Trofinios

Jul 6, 2011
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This is a stage that should suit Sylvian Chavanel. If he is feeling better now than a couple of days ago when he was close to stoping I believe he will try to get into a breakaway today. If he succeeds he could very well win the stage, he looked strong as hell in the french national championship recently.

If the breakaway is caught Gilbert is the obvious choice for the stage win, but the steep final 300-400 meters should also favour riders like Contador, Cunego, Evans and Uran. I pick Cunego to win if the breakaway gets caught.

Some people seems to belive that EBH could win this stage. I doubt that very much. EBH lost 11 seconds to Evans group on the final climb yesterday, so why would he all of the sudden beat Evans et al. on the final climb today? But maybe he could win from a breakaway? I doubt that also, this stage is super hard, with a lot o climbing, and EBH haven't convinced me yet that he is strong enough to succeed on a stage like this.
 
dlwssonic

dlwssonic

May 27, 2010
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please I hope the break doesnt make it! its rather boring I rather see a uphill bunch sprint. evans has a chance to win! but gilbert will be the fav.
 
AussieGoddess

AussieGoddess

Oct 5, 2010
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El Pistolero said:
I hope Gilbert. He'll have a 60+ points lead over Cavendish then.
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but I cnt see OPL working to pull back the break. They are juggling too many balls to seriously try for anything.

Trying to support Greipel in the sprints, Gilbert for green and JVDB for GC is just too much. You cant do it all.

If they were serious about Gilbert's chase for Green they would have put some effort into bringing back the break yesterday. It was as close as you can get to a guaranteed stage win and max points .... but JVDB didnt have the legs and they didnt want to put more pressure on him and have him be dropped for GC .... so they didnt chase.

Same will happen today - they wont chase in order to keep JVDB with the big boys ... and Gilbert will have to settle for whatever points are left over from the break
 
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