Tour de France Tour de France 2020

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No GC team is going to ride hard on climbs 100 km+ from the finish. There are too many flattish km between Turini and Col d'Eze. No team will care if Aru is dropped or not. I guess teams would care about Froome but would it leave only Jumbo-Visma to ride. The drama on this stage will be who is in the break and will it be allowed to stay away.
 
No GC team is going to ride hard on climbs 100 km+ from the finish. There are too many flattish km between Turini and Col d'Eze. No team will care if Aru is dropped or not. I guess teams would care about Froome but would it leave only Jumbo-Visma to ride. The drama on this stage will be who is in the break and will it be allowed to stay away.
I can see that happening, but disagree—I think some GC hopefuls will be found lacking because of weird prep and perhaps due to the willingness of non-big-team GC hopefuls taking an early flyer to gain time any way they can. I’m not saying it will decide the race —just that it will add some drama for stage 2 (and when do we get that in the Tour?).
 
Reactions: Sandisfan
Yeah I don't think anyone is planning to make GC attacks, but the stage hunters will be out for blood and that will probably draw in a lot of opportunistic moves.

The main problem is simply that Turini is not a climb where an elite breakaway group will put 2 minutes into the 3rd best domestique on some teams and still have numbers to retain their advantage after.
 
As much as I hope for an exciting stage 2 I have a suspicion that we are all just desperate to see some racing action, this year more than ever. Well, but I'd like to be proven wrong.

Another thing I've been thinking about is whether there will be so many stage hunters on stage 2 already. A lot of people/teams are going for GC this year, some very good riders will be tied as domestiques, since many teams are so willing to put everything but GC aside.
If Higuita, Landa, Pogacar, Quintana... are going for GC, and guys like Bennett, Teuns, Gaudu are fulltime helpers as long as their leaders are in contention, who are the first class stage hunters "left"? De Gendt. Adam Yates. Alaphilippe. Benoot. Well, is that just my impression?
I'm not sure what Valverde will do.
(And if Bardet, like I never mentioned before, should go for stages, Latour and Cosnefroy could be free as well.)
Of course you can send out a domestique to test the waters, but I think the teams will be careful not to burn their guys on an early stage.
 
Reactions: Sciatic
As much as I hope for an exciting stage 2 I have a suspicion that we are all just desperate to see some racing action, this year more than ever. Well, but I'd like to be proven wrong.

Another thing I've been thinking about is whether there will be so many stage hunters on stage 2 already. A lot of people/teams are going for GC this year, some very good riders will be tied as domestiques, since many teams are so willing to put everything but GC aside.
If Higuita, Landa, Pogacar, Quintana... are going for GC, and guys like Bennett, Teuns, Gaudu are fulltime helpers as long as their leaders are in contention, who are the first class stage hunters "left"? De Gendt. Adam Yates. Alaphilippe. Benoot. Well, is that just my impression?
I'm not sure what Valverde will do.
(And if Bardet, like I never mentioned before, should go for stages, Latour and Cosnefroy could be free as well.)
Of course you can send out a domestique to test the waters, but I think the teams will be careful not to burn their guys on an early stage.
There’s no question we’re all desperate to see some racing!!!!
 
Reactions: Sandisfan
As much as I hope for an exciting stage 2 I have a suspicion that we are all just desperate to see some racing action, this year more than ever. Well, but I'd like to be proven wrong.

Another thing I've been thinking about is whether there will be so many stage hunters on stage 2 already. A lot of people/teams are going for GC this year, some very good riders will be tied as domestiques, since many teams are so willing to put everything but GC aside.
If Higuita, Landa, Pogacar, Quintana... are going for GC, and guys like Bennett, Teuns, Gaudu are fulltime helpers as long as their leaders are in contention, who are the first class stage hunters "left"? De Gendt. Adam Yates. Alaphilippe. Benoot. Well, is that just my impression?
I'm not sure what Valverde will do.
(And if Bardet, like I never mentioned before, should go for stages, Latour and Cosnefroy could be free as well.)
Of course you can send out a domestique to test the waters, but I think the teams will be careful not to burn their guys on an early stage.
Adam Yates will not be given a second of liberty. The way he climbed in UAE was insane.
 
I hope the weird nature of this season leads to some favorites struggeling early and some others feeling like they have peaked early meaning they want to gain time in the first week. If that happens, the first week could be great, if it doesn't five more or less mountain stages all either going to the break or causing at least a bit of gc action is still waaaaaay better than the sort of rubbish we usually get in the first week of the tour.

On another note, what are the chances for crosswind on stage 5? If I remember correctly that valley can get quite windy and has led to echelons in the past. They cross it towards the end of the stage so I imagine this could spice things up?
The chances of crosswinds on stage 5 are actually not bad, if the Mistral is blowing it's gonna be brutal once they cross the valley. The route really needs strong winds on stage 5 and 10, if some gc riders already loose 1-2min on that stage (looking at MAL and Landa) we could get some action earlier than expected.
 

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