Tour de France Tour de France 2025, Stage 18: Vif - Courchevel Col de La Loze(171.5k)

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Your biggest threat right now is collapsing and somehow losing it to Gall. Lipowitz needs to chill at all costs. Roglic isn't an endurance guy, so he should normally minimize his effort too
Absolute piffle, they have more than 5 minutes on Gall. The thing you don't want is to lose the rhythm completely. It's not like Roglic has to drill it, just set a steady pace until, inevitably, Vingegaard attacks again, after which it is every man for himself.
 
Vingegaard needs to attack on the first 11K of the climb, the next 9K are too easy to create separation, before it gets very hard for the last 5.5K

But 5.5K is not enough when you are 4:15 down with just 1 more GC stage to go.

Ideally he creates separation and catch Jorgenson to pull him across the middle 9K.

However - Pogacar looks good and will be very hard to drop.