So what exactly do they have on LA?
1) testimony from other riders, some of whom we have already heard from. This is probably the heart of their case, the strongest evidence they have. I’m sure LA was right when he said they asked him to visit because they were hoping he would confess and make their job easier.
2) The connection with Ferrari. This IMO is the real wild card in the deck. It could be the smoking gun, or it could be next to nothing, depending on how much the investigators have been able to find out. Ferrari has proved to be so slippery that I wouldn’t put much hope here until I hear more.
3) The EPO test in 2001. As the article notes, Saugy will not testify that it was a positive, only that it was borderline.
4) The ’99 EPO samples. Very good evidence. Ashenden will testify to the unlikelihood of either intentional contamination or degradation during storage. But this has all been known for a very long time.
5) Suspicious blood parameters after he came out of retirement. Judging from how difficult it has been to make a case against riders based on the passport, this evidence will likely not be compelling. One also wonders, if the tests were suspicious, why nothing was announced at the time. This could be evidence of a coverup, or it could be the numbers weren’t strong enough to trigger any action. I wish to h--- they had a positive DEHP test, but if they had they probably would have mentioned it.