Vuelta 2017 stage 19 Caso (Parque de Redes) - Gijón 149.7 km

[Lil_Tommy_V]

Re: Vuelta 2017 stage 19 Caso (Parque de Redes) - Gijón 149.

This is a GC day dressed in Breakaway clothing.

 

[movingtarget]

Contador will try again of course. Others won't want to go too deep before tomorrow's stage. Looks like another one for the break.

 

[yaco]

I suspect stage 19 may be a GC day and tomorrow a breakaway day - Should still be big gaps in stage 20 even if ridden at a strong tempo.

 

[Oliver]

Yates, Alaphilippe or Soler would be nice.

 

[Libertine Seguros]

Re:

Yates, Alaphilippe or Soler would be nice.

Marc is more diesel and would need the right break composition. If it's going to be a Movistar rider, Dani Moreno or Carapaz are more likely I would think.

 

[The Barb]

The interesting rider for me is Bilbao. He appears to have great form but has been dutiful in the pointless support of Aru. With Aru complaining yesterday he might be let off the leash and, if so, would be favourite in most breakaways he'd find himself in.

 

[fauniera]

Re: Vuelta 2017 stage 19 Caso (Parque de Redes) - Gijón 149.

Mas or Carapaz please. But probably Yates.

 

[JS10]

Re: Vuelta 2017 stage 19 Caso (Parque de Redes) - Gijón 149.

This is a stage where literally anything could and probably will happen.The only thing one could predict with any
certaintyis that Alberto will attack at some point.Should he decide to go at the bottom of the last climb that spells trouble not for Froome but for Nibali. If Alberto goes there Froome will go with him and if they really put the hammer down then there could be big gaps at the top.Nibali conceded 20 seconds in less than a kilometre
on a similar profile if somewhat shorter yesterday.Nibali could get back on the descent a la Andorra but the butchers bill will have to be paid on Saturday.

 

[TromleTromle]

Re: Vuelta 2017 stage 19 Caso (Parque de Redes) - Gijón 149.

What to say - another great design, we have been spoiled by this from the Unopuerto team.

100% certain that the great Bertie will attack on the last climb - and I think the Shark as well - it suits him better than a small finishing murito, where dawg did very well yesterday, but again it was a climb where you just turned on your computer...

What we hope for - is a Katusha style attack earlier on the stage for full carnage mode. Just anything that makes dawg lose LV18.

 

[Eclipse]

Someone should hammer this. Make it haaaarrrrddd

 

[TromleTromle]

Re:

Someone should hammer this. Make it haaaarrrrddd

I hope so - if the Shark can get the deficit down to 1:00 - then Vollgas from the top ramp of the Cordal tomorrow on wet roads!

 

[MrTea1976]

My Velogames team would like Atapuma or Woods to win. Or Pantano.

 

[MrTea1976]

I expect to see Villella in the break today. He needs the points in case Lopez goes wild tomorrow.

 

[Robert5091]

If anyone hopes to get some time back tomorrow, they'll have to start today.

 

[The Barb]

Re:

I expect to see Villella in the break today. He needs the points in case Lopez goes wild tomorrow.

This is a safe prediction. I wasted about an hour today figuring out the permutations for King of the Mountains and concluded that Villela is the highly likely winner. Good overs with bookmakers at around $2.20. Just needs to go all out to get in the break and get points on the first Cat 1 and that almost seals it (unless Lopez wins on Angliru) then he can just coast.

 

[hayneplane]

I agree that Bilbao is a good call for stage honours if allowed to hunt for the breakaway. Surely Contador, Zakarin and Nibali have to get their teams active in the breaks so that if they make an attack stick on the final climb they have support on the 15km run to the line.

 

[search]

Re: Re:

I expect to see Villella in the break today. He needs the points in case Lopez goes wild tomorrow.

This is a safe prediction. I wasted about an hour today figuring out the permutations for King of the Mountains and concluded that Villela is the highly likely winner. Good overs with bookmakers at around $2.20. Just needs to go all out to get in the break and get points on the first Cat 1 and that almost seals it (unless Lopez wins on Angliru) then he can just coast.

sounds good on paper, but it's all but a given that a breakaway group will have established until the top of the first climb. And if that's the case, Lopez is more likely to score points than Villella

 

[HelloDolly]

Posible winners include Sanchez, Costa, Yates bros ( take your pick) ,Aqua Blue (whole team) , Majka, Buchman, Moreno, Soler, Bilbao, Carapaz,Mas, Jungels, Allaphillipe ( mad breakaway records are broken) de Gendt, Trentin , Attapuma, Polanc, Pantano, Roson, Poljanski, Rojas, Mohoric,Lutsenko, Bardet, Simon Clarke ( Kirby's wet dream),Olivier, Marczynski, Visconti, de Marchi, Caruso, Mate, Navarro, Pardilla, LG Mas, Aguirre, Bol...

possibly in that order

 

[Dekker_Tifosi]

Katusha/Bahrein/Trek full gas on 1st climb would be neat

 

[The Barb]

Re: Re:

I expect to see Villella in the break today. He needs the points in case Lopez goes wild tomorrow.

This is a safe prediction. I wasted about an hour today figuring out the permutations for King of the Mountains and concluded that Villela is the highly likely winner. Good overs with bookmakers at around $2.20. Just needs to go all out to get in the break and get points on the first Cat 1 and that almost seals it (unless Lopez wins on Angliru) then he can just coast.

sounds good on paper, but it's all but a given that a breakaway group will have established until the top of the first climb. And if that's the case, Lopez is more likely to score points than Villella

Excluding Villela crashing, there is a zero probability that Lopez scores more than him on the first climb.

 

[Orbit501]

Re:

Posible winners include Sanchez, Costa, Yates bros ( take your pick) ,Aqua Blue (whole team) , Majka, Buchman, Moreno, Soler, Bilbao, Carapaz,Mas, Jungels, Allaphillipe ( mad breakaway records are broken) de Gendt, Trentin , Attapuma, Polanc, Pantano, Roson, Poljanski, Rojas, Mohoric,Lutsenko, Bardet, Simon Clarke ( Kirby's wet dream),Olivier, Marczynski, Visconti, de Marchi, Caruso, Mate, Navarro, Pardilla, LG Mas, Aguirre, Bol...

possibly in that order

Think that just about covers it, yes.

I'd like to see Roson take the stage for Spain and get something out of what has been a bit of a disappointing race for him so far.

 

[huge]

What's the weather like today?

If it's rainy, the descent before the finish could be interesting...

 

[Lexman]

The choo choo Sky train will win eh pardon me,ruin this bike race.

 

[jsem94]

Dry today. MASSIVE rain forecasts for tomorrow though. Holy ***.

 

[The Barb]

Re:

Dry today. MASSIVE rain forecasts for tomorrow though. Holy ****.

Yes. I am worried for Zakarin.